TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119117––––
Dmytro Yurkov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Roman Horokh at 58.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 219–146 Dmytro Yurkov Dmytro Yurkov has won 146 of their 365 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
219-146 in 365
Horokh
Correct
gap of 73 in 365, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1923 vs Yurkov 1834
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 20% vs Yurkov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 50% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh -3 · Yurkov -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Horokh) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.61 / Yurkov 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Horokh)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166302
Horokh1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 295 of 440
Up 2–0, closes it96% 160 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 225 of 274
Yurkov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 57 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back11% 13 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh8wins
AwayYurkov2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh100%6 of 6
AwayYurkov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh6Yurkov4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S2Horokh8Yurkov2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S3Horokh8Yurkov2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S4Horokh3Yurkov3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhYurkovH − YBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.931.9+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime688 / 1219 vs 390 / 91956.4%42.4%688 / 1219 vs 390 / 919Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.61/Yurkov 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 16:00R. Horokh351113113D. Yurkov2361160
WAug 18 · 13:00R. Horokh4291111113D. Yurkov32117951
WAug 11 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov247980
WAug 5 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov208390
LJul 27 · 14:30R. Horokh34811961D. Yurkov4211911113
WJul 25 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov194960
WJul 23 · 15:00R. Horokh4111712113D. Yurkov368111071
LJul 21 · 13:00R. Horokh401371191D. Yurkov4615119113
WJul 20 · 14:30R. Horokh50111112163D. Yurkov4513810141
R. Horokh10
LSep 21 · 12:00R. Horokh4.501591191S. Ponomarenko1.1717118113LSep 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.9111513113R. Horokh1.805111161LSep 16 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501219113R. Horokh1.50101750WSep 16 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91631111113S. Balabei1.8011115462LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113WSep 16 · 12:00R. Horokh1.141111113S. Kiilo5.004760LSep 15 · 17:28S. Ponomarenko1.171113123R. Horokh4.50911100WSep 15 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50711261R. Horokh1.5011811113WSep 15 · 15:00R. Horokh1.731111113S. Balabei2.004890WSep 15 · 13:30R. Horokh1.441111124113D. Kryshtal2.6349141192
D. Yurkov10
LSep 21 · 12:30D. Yurkov2.381112121542S. Balabei1.537141413113LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961WAug 18 · 14:00D. Yurkov2.10113711113D. Kryshtal1.6741111692LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.