TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131225
Played Sep 15Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141191214411119
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Roman Horokh at 65.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 93–62 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Kryshtal has won 62 of their 155 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-62 in 155
Horokh
Correct
gap of 31 in 155, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1929 vs Kryshtal 1885
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 40% vs Kryshtal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 60% vs Kryshtal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh -2 · Kryshtal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horokh) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.44 / Kryshtal 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Horokh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131225
Horokh1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 296 of 450
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 277
Kryshtal2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 78 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh8wins
AwayKryshtal2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh75%6 of 8
AwayKryshtaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh8Kryshtal2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S2Horokh8Kryshtal2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S3Horokh6Kryshtal4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S4Horokh6Kryshtal1n = 7Horokh took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKryshtalH − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.334.9+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime697 / 1240 vs 328 / 75456.2%43.5%697 / 1240 vs 328 / 754Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.44/Kryshtal 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:30R. Horokh3851111113D. Kryshtal32117861
LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh4411771182D. Kryshtal40511112113
WSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh47111114113D. Kryshtal39971671
WSep 8 · 14:30R. Horokh4291111113D. Kryshtal31118391
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh331111113D. Kryshtal196760
WSep 2 · 13:00R. Horokh361213113D. Kryshtal30101190
WAug 31 · 13:00R. Horokh4211128113D. Kryshtal389101181
LAug 29 · 10:03R. Horokh5116811792D. Kryshtal561411911113
WAug 29 · 07:30R. Horokh47111510113D. Kryshtal406131291
WAug 28 · 13:30R. Horokh331111113D. Kryshtal248790
R. Horokh10
WSep 15 · 15:00R. Horokh1.731111113S. Balabei2.004890LSep 15 · 12:00R. Horokh4.501312941S. Ponomarenko1.17111411113LSep 14 · 17:33S. Balabei2.001311911113R. Horokh1.7315511562WSep 14 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50117122102R. Horokh1.503111011123LSep 14 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91151111161S. Balabei1.8017136183WSep 14 · 13:30R. Horokh1.11671116113M. Levytskii6.00111131492WSep 14 · 12:00R. Horokh1.1411811113S. Kiilo5.00611651WSep 12 · 10:00S. Kushnirenko2.2061111752R. Horokh1.61119911113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Ponomarenko1.1711911113R. Horokh4.50811861WSep 12 · 07:30R. Horokh1.40101111113V. Komar2.75127831
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 15 · 14:30D. Kryshtal8.5011127862S. Ponomarenko1.052101111113WSep 15 · 12:30D. Kryshtal2.3811116113S. Balabei1.53431161LSep 12 · 10:29D. Kryshtal7.0012711442S. Ponomarenko1.081011311113LSep 12 · 09:30S. Ponomarenko1.0311711113D. Kryshtal10.00911791WSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113S. Kushnirenko2.108670LSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal2.63117861R. Horokh1.4451111113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.501111113V. Komar2.505650WSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182LSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113
Upcoming Matches
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