TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13141527
Played Sep 16Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1155111311116––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 62–93 Roman Horokh Dmytro Kryshtal has won 62 of their 155 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kryshtal beat Horokh 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.91 / Horokh 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Horokh)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13141527
Kryshtal1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 78 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 129
Horokh1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 298 of 449
Up 2–0, closes it96% 161 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it82% 228 of 279
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal2wins
AwayHorokh8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtaln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHorokh75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal2Horokh8n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S2Kryshtal2Horokh8n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S3Kryshtal4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal1Horokh6n = 7Horokh took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalHorokhK − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.941.3−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 762 vs 701 / 124443.4%56.4%331 / 762 vs 701 / 1244Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKryshtal 1.91/Horokh 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal32117861R. Horokh3851111113
WSep 11 · 13:30D. Kryshtal40511112113R. Horokh4411771182
LSep 9 · 13:30D. Kryshtal39971671R. Horokh47111114113
LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal31118391R. Horokh4291111113
LSep 2 · 17:33D. Kryshtal196760R. Horokh331111113
LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal30101190R. Horokh361213113
LAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal389101181R. Horokh4211128113
WAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal561411911113R. Horokh5116811792
LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kryshtal406131291R. Horokh47111510113
LAug 28 · 13:30D. Kryshtal248790R. Horokh331111113
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 16 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20121181182D. Kryshtal1.611081113113LSep 16 · 14:30D. Kryshtal1.251415591S. Kiilo3.75161311113WSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113LSep 16 · 12:30D. Kryshtal2.501173101S. Balabei1.5061111123LSep 15 · 17:01S. Balabei1.401113113D. Kryshtal2.7581190WSep 15 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.207128101D. Kryshtal1.61111011123LSep 15 · 14:30D. Kryshtal8.5011127862S. Ponomarenko1.052101111113LSep 15 · 13:30R. Horokh1.441111124113D. Kryshtal2.6349141192WSep 15 · 12:30D. Kryshtal2.3811116113S. Balabei1.53431161LSep 12 · 10:29D. Kryshtal7.0012711442S. Ponomarenko1.081011311113
R. Horokh10
LSep 16 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501219113R. Horokh1.50101750WSep 16 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91631111113S. Balabei1.8011115462LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113WSep 16 · 12:00R. Horokh1.141111113S. Kiilo5.004760LSep 15 · 17:28S. Ponomarenko1.171113123R. Horokh4.50911100WSep 15 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50711261R. Horokh1.5011811113WSep 15 · 15:00R. Horokh1.731111113S. Balabei2.004890WSep 15 · 13:30R. Horokh1.441111124113D. Kryshtal2.6349141192LSep 15 · 12:00R. Horokh4.501312941S. Ponomarenko1.17111411113LSep 14 · 17:33S. Balabei2.001311911113R. Horokh1.7315511562
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