TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811811611––
Lukas Babicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Babicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Lukas Babicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Babicka at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 3–5 Lukas Babicka Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Babicka beat Darin 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Babicka
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1491 vs Babicka 1451
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Babicka 60%
Babicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Babicka 60%
Babicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Babicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.73 / Babicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165782
Darin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 141
Babicka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayBabicka5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBabicka leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin66.7%2 of 3
AwayBabicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin3Babicka5n = 8Babicka took 5 of 8
S2Darin6Babicka2n = 8Darin took 6 of 8
S3Darin2Babicka6n = 8Babicka took 6 of 8
S4Darin5Babicka2n = 7Darin took 5 of 7
S5Darin0Babicka3n = 3Babicka took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricDarinBabickaD − BBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.938.9+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinBabickaBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1575 vs 65 / 13149%49.6%771 / 1575 vs 65 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.73/Babicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Babicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 21 · 11:30K. Darin236980L. Babicka331111113
WAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin4291111113L. Babicka29115581
WJul 28 · 22:30K. Darin4211128113L. Babicka336101161
LMar 25 · 04:00K. Darin51611911142L. Babicka47112117163
LMar 25 · 02:00K. Darin4261111862L. Babicka42116311113
LAug 25 · 23:00K. Darin46121081152L. Babicka521012118113
LMay 31 · 19:00K. Darin33811771L. Babicka4011711113
WMay 17 · 23:00K. Darin48111214113L. Babicka351101681
K. Darin10
WSep 21 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk1.835101151K. Darin1.8311128113LSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek1.7371111113K. Darin2.00112991WSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502LSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112
L. Babicka10
WSep 21 · 15:30L. Babicka1.9111146113J. Plachy1.809121161LSep 21 · 13:28J. Plachy1.8011101111113L. Babicka1.9113126462WSep 21 · 12:30J. Dedek1.73981121L. Babicka2.0011119113WSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980LSep 21 · 10:30J. Plachy1.801111113L. Babicka1.918930WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka1.734230M. Kolar2.001111113WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka1.671110811123A. Svoboda2.10712115102
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.