TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371797
Played Aug 7Finished
Lukas Babicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11710128111151210
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Babicka above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Babicka 1–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:26What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Babicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Babicka 1472 vs Svoboda 1457
Babicka
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Babicka 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Babicka 40% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Babicka +1 · Svoboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Babicka) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBabicka 1.67 / Svoboda 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Babicka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371797
Babicka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Svoboda2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBabicka1wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBabicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBabickaSvobodaB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match52.045.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBabickaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 163 vs 98 / 18749.7%52.4%81 / 163 vs 98 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BabickaBabicka 1.67/Svoboda 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Babicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Babicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka—1110811123A. Svoboda—712115102
L. Babicka10
WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka1.734230M. Kolar2.001111113WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113LJul 29 · 02:00L. Babicka2.2013750Y. Holovatiuk1.611511113LJul 29 · 01:00L. Babicka1.8341210101A. Mikuska1.83111012123WJul 29 · 24:00F. Briza2.001152121L. Babicka1.7331111143LJul 28 · 22:30K. Darin1.9111128113L. Babicka1.806101161LApr 3 · 03:30J. Prokupek—11119113L. Babicka—471181
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113LAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.