TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371398
Played Aug 8Finished
Lukas Babicka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411211311––––
Milan Kolar
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Babicka to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Babicka above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 42 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Lukas Babicka at 59.7%
42 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Babicka 11–9 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Babicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Babicka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Babicka 1483 vs Kolar 1562
Kolar
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Babicka 60% vs Kolar 40%
Babicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Babicka 50% vs Kolar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Babicka +1 · Kolar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Babicka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBabicka 1.73 / Kolar 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Babicka)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371398
Babicka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Kolar2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBabicka6wins
AwayKolar4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBabicka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBabicka60%3 of 5
AwayKolar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Babicka5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S2Babicka6Kolar4n = 10Babicka took 6 of 10
S3Babicka5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S4Babicka4Kolar4n = 8split evenly
S5Babicka3Kolar2n = 5Babicka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBabickaKolarB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.5−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBabickaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 163 vs 414 / 81949.7%50.6%81 / 163 vs 414 / 819Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BabickaBabicka 1.73/Kolar 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Babicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka—4230M. Kolar—1111113
WApr 2 · 19:30L. Babicka—911119113M. Kolar—11781162
LMar 28 · 03:58L. Babicka—1211821M. Kolar—101311113
WMar 28 · 01:00L. Babicka—1111113M. Kolar—9970
WMar 24 · 04:30L. Babicka—11811113M. Kolar—711691
WMar 24 · 03:30L. Babicka—611311133M. Kolar—115115112
WFeb 28 · 18:07L. Babicka—81111113M. Kolar—119841
WFeb 28 · 16:00L. Babicka—141143113M. Kolar—124111122
LNov 17 · 18:00L. Babicka—61111732M. Kolar—117611103
LNov 17 · 17:00L. Babicka—11251112M. Kolar—511118113
L. Babicka10
WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka1.671110811123A. Svoboda2.10712115102WJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113LJul 29 · 02:00L. Babicka2.2013750Y. Holovatiuk1.611511113LJul 29 · 01:00L. Babicka1.8341210101A. Mikuska1.83111012123WJul 29 · 24:00F. Briza2.001152121L. Babicka1.7331111143LJul 28 · 22:30K. Darin1.9111128113L. Babicka1.806101161LApr 3 · 03:30J. Prokupek—11119113L. Babicka—471181
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133
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