TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Lukas Babicka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119118––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Babicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Babicka above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Babicka at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Babicka 4–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Babicka 1465 vs Darin 1509
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Babicka 40% vs Darin 60%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Babicka 50% vs Darin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Babicka -1 · Darin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBabicka 2.00 / Darin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165639
Babicka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Darin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBabicka4wins
AwayDarin3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBabicka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBabicka75%3 of 4
AwayDarin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Babicka4Darin3n = 7Babicka took 4 of 7
S2Babicka1Darin6n = 7Darin took 6 of 7
S3Babicka5Darin2n = 7Babicka took 5 of 7
S4Babicka2Darin5n = 7Darin took 5 of 7
S5Babicka3Darin0n = 3Babicka took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBabickaDarinB − DBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.743.4−3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBabickaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 128 vs 770 / 157249.2%49%63 / 128 vs 770 / 1572Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinBabicka 2.00/Darin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Babicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 7 · 23:30L. Babicka29115581K. Darin4291111113
LJul 28 · 22:30L. Babicka336101161K. Darin4211128113
WMar 25 · 04:00L. Babicka47112117163K. Darin51611911142
WMar 25 · 02:00L. Babicka42116311113K. Darin4261111862
WAug 25 · 23:00L. Babicka521012118113K. Darin46121081152
WMay 31 · 19:00L. Babicka4011711113K. Darin33811771
LMay 17 · 23:00L. Babicka351101681K. Darin48111214113
L. Babicka10
WSep 21 · 12:30J. Dedek1.73981121L. Babicka2.0011119113LSep 21 · 10:30J. Plachy1.801111113L. Babicka1.918930WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka1.734230M. Kolar2.001111113WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka1.671110811123A. Svoboda2.10712115102WJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113LJul 29 · 02:00L. Babicka2.2013750Y. Holovatiuk1.611511113LJul 29 · 01:00L. Babicka1.8341210101A. Mikuska1.83111012123
K. Darin10
WSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581
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