TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811119211––
Lukas Babicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Lukas Babicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 72 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 6–6 Lukas Babicka Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1462 vs Babicka 1481
Babicka
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Babicka 60%
Babicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 30% vs Babicka 50%
Babicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Babicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.73 / Babicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165428
Dedek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 140 of 223
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it81% 107 of 132
Babicka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek5wins
AwayBabicka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek40%2 of 5
AwayBabicka40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Babicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek4Babicka6n = 10Babicka took 6 of 10
S3Dedek7Babicka3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S4Dedek3Babicka4n = 7Babicka took 4 of 7
S5Dedek2Babicka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekBabickaD − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.7+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekBabickaBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 940 vs 64 / 12951.6%49.6%485 / 940 vs 64 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.73/Babicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Babicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 03:30J. Dedek44116111152L. Babicka48611137113
WSep 9 · 23:30J. Dedek48611128113L. Babicka48118101182
WAug 9 · 03:30J. Dedek331111113L. Babicka189630
LAug 9 · 01:30J. Dedek361196101L. Babicka4171111123
WJul 15 · 12:00J. Dedek331111113L. Babicka189270
LJul 12 · 03:30J. Dedek25541151L. Babicka4011117113
LJul 12 · 01:00J. Dedek165380L. Babicka331111113
LJun 30 · 22:30J. Dedek49111111972L. Babicka45313711113
WMay 8 · 01:00J. Dedek3851111113L. Babicka33118771
WApr 23 · 03:30J. Dedek47681111113L. Babicka4311116782
J. Dedek10
WSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek1.7371111113K. Darin2.00112991LSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880WSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113
L. Babicka10
WSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka1.734230M. Kolar2.001111113WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka1.671110811123A. Svoboda2.10712115102WJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113LJul 29 · 02:00L. Babicka2.2013750Y. Holovatiuk1.611511113LJul 29 · 01:00L. Babicka1.8341210101A. Mikuska1.83111012123WJul 29 · 24:00F. Briza2.001152121L. Babicka1.7331111143
Upcoming Matches
J. Dedek
Nothing scheduled
L. Babicka
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