TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511511––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:31 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 55.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 37–47 Jiri Dedek Kyryl Darin has won 37 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-47 in 84
Dedek
Correct
gap of 10 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1526 vs Dedek 1455
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Dedek 20%
Darin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 60% vs Dedek 30%
Darin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +2 · Dedek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.73 / Dedek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163453
Darin1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 141
Dedek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 77 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwayDedek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin83.3%5 of 6
AwayDedek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Dedek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin7Dedek3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Darin6Dedek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin2Dedek4n = 6Dedek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinDedekDarin − DedekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.431.6+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime770 / 1571 vs 484 / 93849%51.6%770 / 1571 vs 484 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.73/Dedek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin3811115113J. Dedek27611191
WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin331111113J. Dedek226880
LSep 2 · 13:00K. Darin3810111161J. Dedek3912313113
LSep 2 · 10:00K. Darin3213311232J. Dedek521111811113
LAug 27 · 12:58K. Darin188550J. Dedek331111113
WAug 27 · 12:30K. Darin4011611123J. Dedek313117101
LAug 24 · 01:00K. Darin28711641J. Dedek3411111113
WAug 21 · 20:58K. Darin331111113J. Dedek155730
WAug 21 · 20:00K. Darin51911117133J. Dedek42116311112
WAug 17 · 03:00K. Darin331111113J. Dedek217590
K. Darin10
WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152
J. Dedek10
LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880WSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751
Upcoming Matches
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