TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711112119119––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9
71 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 48–37 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 37 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dedek beat Darin 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.73 / Darin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169756
Dedek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 140 of 223
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it81% 107 of 132
Darin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 174 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek5wins
AwayDarin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek80%4 of 5
AwayDarin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Dedek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek4Darin2n = 6Dedek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekDarinDedek − DarinBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.832.9−0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 941 vs 771 / 157451.5%49%485 / 941 vs 771 / 1574Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.73/Darin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 10:00J. Dedek331111113K. Darin188550
LSep 20 · 02:59J. Dedek27611191K. Darin3811115113
LSep 20 · 02:30J. Dedek226880K. Darin331111113
WSep 2 · 13:00J. Dedek3912313113K. Darin3810111161
WSep 2 · 10:00J. Dedek521111811113K. Darin3213311232
WAug 27 · 12:58J. Dedek331111113K. Darin188550
LAug 27 · 12:30J. Dedek313117101K. Darin4011611123
WAug 24 · 01:00J. Dedek3411111113K. Darin28711641
LAug 21 · 20:58J. Dedek155730K. Darin331111113
LAug 21 · 20:00J. Dedek42116311112K. Darin51911117133
J. Dedek10
LSep 21 · 12:30J. Dedek1.73981121L. Babicka2.0011119113LSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880WSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113LSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113LSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113
K. Darin10
WSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502LSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101
Upcoming Matches
J. Dedek
Nothing scheduled
K. Darin
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