TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811117311115110
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-0
Point 78 set 5, 11-0 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 60.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 36–33 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-33 in 69
Darin
Correct
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1504 vs Plachy 1491
Darin
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Plachy 80%
Plachy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Plachy 60%
Plachy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -2 · Plachy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.38 / Plachy 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Plachy)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165820
Darin2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 174 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 155
Plachy1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 128 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it88% 94 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayPlachy7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin66.7%2 of 3
AwayPlachy85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin3Plachy7n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S2Darin1Plachy9n = 10Plachy took 9 of 10
S3Darin2Plachy8n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S4Darin3Plachy2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinPlachyD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.436.9−5.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1574 vs 736 / 158849%46.4%771 / 1574 vs 736 / 1588Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDarin 2.38/Plachy 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin44811311113J. Plachy3411711502
LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin315511101J. Plachy4211118123
LSep 2 · 12:30K. Darin1843110J. Plachy351111133
LSep 1 · 12:59K. Darin34129761J. Plachy43101111113
LSep 1 · 12:30K. Darin2210570J. Plachy341211113
LAug 29 · 20:30K. Darin218940J. Plachy331111113
WAug 27 · 17:01K. Darin3911611113J. Plachy30711571
LAug 27 · 14:30K. Darin229940J. Plachy331111113
WAug 27 · 11:00K. Darin5816101011113J. Plachy50141212482
LAug 24 · 02:30K. Darin2511590J. Plachy351311113
K. Darin10
LSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113
J. Plachy10
WSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:30J. Plachy1.801111113L. Babicka1.918930LSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560LSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090
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