TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119113––––
Lukas Babicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Babicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Lukas Babicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 53 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Babicka at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 3–2 Lukas Babicka Lukas Babicka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:12What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1478 vs Babicka 1479
Babicka
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 60% vs Babicka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 40% vs Babicka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Babicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.80 / Babicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165577
Plachy1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 128 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it88% 94 of 107
Babicka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 44 days ago (Aug 08) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePlachy3wins
AwayBabicka2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPlachy leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy75%3 of 4
AwayBabickan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy4Babicka1n = 5Plachy took 4 of 5
S2Plachy3Babicka2n = 5Plachy took 3 of 5
S3Plachy2Babicka3n = 5Babicka took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricPlachyBabickaP − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match36.834.2+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyBabickaBasisWin rate · lifetime742 / 1595 vs 67 / 13646.5%49.3%742 / 1595 vs 67 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.80/Babicka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 3 · 02:00J. Plachy143740L. Babicka331111113
WFeb 28 · 12:00J. Plachy331111113L. Babicka206680
LOct 4 · 18:30J. Plachy50118101562L. Babicka492111213113
WSep 7 · 03:30J. Plachy351311113L. Babicka2411760
WSep 7 · 24:00J. Plachy52111513133L. Babicka4561315111
J. Plachy10
WSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163LSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560LSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090
L. Babicka10
WAug 8 · 02:58L. Babicka1.53138911133A. Svoboda2.381111115112LAug 8 · 01:30L. Babicka1.734230M. Kolar2.001111113WAug 8 · 24:30F. Briza2.251271091L. Babicka1.57101112113LAug 7 · 23:30K. Darin1.6791111113L. Babicka2.07115581WAug 7 · 22:30L. Babicka1.671110811123A. Svoboda2.10712115102WJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113LJul 29 · 02:00L. Babicka2.2013750Y. Holovatiuk1.611511113LJul 29 · 01:00L. Babicka1.8341210101A. Mikuska1.83111012123WJul 29 · 24:00F. Briza2.001152121L. Babicka1.7331111143LJul 28 · 22:30K. Darin1.9111128113L. Babicka1.806101161
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