TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118911111––
Jan Cernik
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 66 set 4, 11-1
66 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 10–0 Jan Cernik Jan Cernik has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Opanasiuk beat Cernik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.28 / Cernik 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165760
Opanasiuk1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 88 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it71% 59 of 83
Cernik3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk10wins
AwayCernik0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
AwayCernik0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk7Cernik3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Opanasiuk6Cernik4n = 10Opanasiuk took 6 of 10
S3Opanasiuk9Cernik1n = 10Opanasiuk took 9 of 10
S4Opanasiuk5Cernik1n = 6Opanasiuk took 5 of 6
S5Opanasiuk3Cernik0n = 3Opanasiuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukCernikO − CBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.131.1+10.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 290 vs 202 / 34653.8%58.4%156 / 290 vs 202 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.28/Cernik 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik165650
WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk511071112113J. Cernik41121131052
WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk401118113J. Cernik3271690
WSep 19 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk4211119113J. Cernik35881181
WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik207760
WSep 19 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk4481411113J. Cernik321112541
WJul 19 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk50891111113J. Cernik3711113662
WJul 15 · 23:00D. Opanasiuk4411811143J. Cernik344117121
WJul 15 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik189360
WJul 10 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk41112116113J. Cernik4661191192
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 20 · 16:30J. Medek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.836940LSep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.506880J. Zajicek1.501111113WSep 20 · 14:30J. Cernik2.505650D. Opanasiuk1.501111113WSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052LSep 20 · 11:30E. Mares2.751111113D. Opanasiuk1.406790LSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690LSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170
J. Cernik10
LSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100LSep 20 · 15:00J. Medek2.10111112133J. Cernik1.675514111LSep 20 · 14:30J. Cernik2.505650D. Opanasiuk1.501111113LSep 20 · 13:30J. Cernik1.55111411862E. Mares2.30816911113LSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052WSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:30J. Cernik1.611311113E. Mares2.2011980LSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690WSep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61121166113E. Mares2.20108111182WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.7511196812J. Cernik1.407171111113
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