TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1157111517119811
Zdenek Dusek
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-10
Point 104 set 5, 8-10
104 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 6–4 Zdenek Dusek Zdenek Dusek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kratochvil beat Dusek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dusek form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.52 / Dusek 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kratochvil)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13164611
Kratochvil1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 63 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Dusek2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil6wins
AwayDusek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKratochvil leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil100%6 of 6
AwayDusek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil6Dusek4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S2Kratochvil6Dusek4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S3Kratochvil6Dusek4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S4Kratochvil4Dusek2n = 6Kratochvil took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilDusekK − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.2+3.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 440 vs 191 / 46855.5%40.8%244 / 440 vs 191 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.52/Dusek 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil5312119213Z. Dusek4610611191
LJul 29 · 21:59C. Kratochvil2459100Z. Dusek341111123
LJul 29 · 19:55C. Kratochvil30411961Z. Dusek3911611113
WJul 20 · 21:25C. Kratochvil3911116113Z. Dusek35881181
WJul 13 · 19:20C. Kratochvil351113113Z. Dusek2561180
LMar 22 · 20:25C. Kratochvil47129111142Z. Dusek51141178113
WSep 14 · 08:50C. Kratochvil4211911113Z. Dusek29511671
WSep 13 · 19:20C. Kratochvil331111113Z. Dusek197570
WAug 5 · 16:40C. Kratochvil331111113Z. Dusek238960
LApr 12 · 08:50C. Kratochvil41101011101Z. Dusek4112125123
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil1.5712119213Z. Dusek2.2510611191LSep 20 · 11:55C. Kratochvil1.7311112952A. Jr2.00981111113LSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113LSep 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil2.401111101142B. Budik1.50139128113WSep 19 · 20:55T. Rein2.759860C. Kratochvil1.401111113LSep 19 · 20:25B. Budik1.441110811113C. Kratochvil2.4031211882WSep 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.381211153J. Dohnal1.53108140WSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113LSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951
Z. Dusek10
LSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil1.5712119213Z. Dusek2.2510611191LSep 20 · 12:25L. Rek2.0011811133Z. Dusek1.737117111LSep 20 · 11:25Z. Dusek1.839550A. Jr1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:25M. Nemec2.109350Z. Dusek1.671111113LSep 13 · 12:50Z. Dusek1.837111091P. Cibik1.8311812113LSep 13 · 11:20M. Nemec2.5091111113Z. Dusek1.50115891LSep 13 · 10:50R. Zeman1.731511123Z. Dusek2.00138100LSep 9 · 17:50Z. Dusek1.83111011662P. Cibik1.83812911113WSep 9 · 16:50Z. Dusek1.8351111113P. Cibik1.83118691WSep 9 · 15:20S. Matousch1.8082131142Z. Dusek1.911111119113
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