TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160185
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1131012811118118
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1131012811118118
H2H Bohuslav Budik 4–3 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budik 1520 vs Kratochvil 1459
Budik
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 20% vs Kratochvil 60%
Kratochvil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 40% vs Kratochvil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik -1 · Kratochvil +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Budik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.44 / Kratochvil 2.40
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Budik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13160185
Budik1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it63% 25 of 40
Kratochvil2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBudik4wins
AwayKratochvil3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBudik leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudik100%3 of 3
AwayKratochvil75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik3Kratochvil4n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S2Budik4Kratochvil3n = 7Budik took 4 of 7
S3Budik3Kratochvil4n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S4Budik3Kratochvil0n = 3Budik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricBudikKratochvilB − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.036.7+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 508 vs 242 / 43443.9%55.8%223 / 508 vs 242 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikBudik 1.44/Kratochvil 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik51812111192C. Kratochvil44111444113
WJun 16 · 20:50B. Budik331111113C. Kratochvil248970
WApr 26 · 13:55B. Budik4111118113C. Kratochvil37891191
LApr 26 · 10:50B. Budik331011120C. Kratochvil391213143
WApr 22 · 10:55B. Budik351113113C. Kratochvil2771190
LDec 3 · 09:50B. Budik29101180C. Kratochvil361213113
WNov 6 · 08:40B. Budik511011711123C. Kratochvil50128119102
B. Budik10
WSep 19 · 21:25J. Dohnal2.1095111182B. Budik1.53111169113LSep 19 · 18:55T. Rein2.40511411113B. Budik1.5111711892WSep 16 · 13:30M. Filipek3.0051141192B. Budik1.35117119113LSep 16 · 12:20F. Balcar1.8011118113B. Budik1.90781181LSep 16 · 11:50M. Filipek1.80911411113B. Budik1.9011711492LSep 16 · 10:50B. Budik2.20127101152T. Hnizdil1.601011128113WSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113WSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123LSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113WSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 19 · 20:55T. Rein2.759860C. Kratochvil1.401111113WSep 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.381211153J. Dohnal1.53108140WSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113LSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951WSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil1.73129118113A. Jr2.00101181192LSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143WSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991WSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113
Upcoming Matches
B. Budik
Nothing scheduled
C. Kratochvil
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