TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13161022
Played Sep 19Finished
Jaroslav Dohnal
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911511116119811
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911511116119811
H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 35–32 Bohuslav Budik Bohuslav Budik has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (58%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-32 in 67
Dohnal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dohnal 1471 vs Budik 1529
Budik
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dohnal 20% vs Budik 40%
Budik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dohnal 20% vs Budik 50%
Budik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dohnal -2 · Budik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Budik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDohnal 2.10 / Budik 1.53
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Budik)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13161022
Dohnal2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 12 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Budik1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it63% 25 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDohnal4wins
AwayBudik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBudik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDohnal100%4 of 4
AwayBudik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dohnal4Budik6n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S2Dohnal7Budik3n = 10Dohnal took 7 of 10
S3Dohnal1Budik9n = 10Budik took 9 of 10
S4Dohnal6Budik2n = 8Dohnal took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDohnalBudikD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.8−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDohnalBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 662 vs 224 / 50958.9%44%390 / 662 vs 224 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikDohnal 2.10/Budik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:50J. Dohnal43111110113B. Budik33781261
WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal48111111153B. Budik427913131
LSep 1 · 20:20J. Dohnal2041150B. Budik351113113
LAug 28 · 21:25J. Dohnal27611100B. Budik361113123
LAug 13 · 21:25J. Dohnal388101281B. Budik44111210113
WAug 13 · 19:20J. Dohnal3911116113B. Budik34691181
LAug 1 · 19:55J. Dohnal48912111152B. Budik511110136113
WJul 12 · 15:50J. Dohnal3811115113B. Budik34781181
LJul 9 · 22:40J. Dohnal355115141B. Budik4511711163
LJul 9 · 18:55J. Dohnal5091471192B. Budik541112119113
J. Dohnal10
WSep 19 · 22:04T. Rein2.2510113101J. Dohnal1.5712511123LSep 19 · 19:55T. Rein2.63711711123J. Dohnal1.44117119102LSep 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.381211153J. Dohnal1.53108140WSep 13 · 17:53J. Cousin2.50331121J. Dohnal1.5011117113LSep 13 · 16:55J. Dohnal1.501110851J. Cousin2.5061211113LSep 13 · 15:55J. Dohnal1.839111121P. Vodal1.8311138113LSep 13 · 14:55J. Dohnal2.20781191T. Hnizdil1.6111117113LSep 12 · 22:30J. Sebl2.25111011113J. Dohnal1.57812961LSep 12 · 20:55M. Boltik2.10111257123J. Dohnal1.678101111102LSep 12 · 20:25J. Sebl2.7561111133J. Dohnal1.401196111
B. Budik10
WSep 19 · 20:25B. Budik1.441110811113C. Kratochvil2.4031211882LSep 19 · 18:55T. Rein2.40511411113B. Budik1.5111711892WSep 16 · 13:30M. Filipek3.0051141192B. Budik1.35117119113LSep 16 · 12:20F. Balcar1.8011118113B. Budik1.90781181LSep 16 · 11:50M. Filipek1.80911411113B. Budik1.9011711492LSep 16 · 10:50B. Budik2.20127101152T. Hnizdil1.601011128113WSep 12 · 10:35P. Vodal2.455890B. Budik1.501111113WSep 12 · 09:25P. Vodal2.101284101B. Budik1.60101111123LSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113WSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173
Upcoming Matches
J. Dohnal
Nothing scheduled
B. Budik
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