TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118211911511
Ales Brandtl Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Ales Brandtl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 11–12 Ales Brandtl Jr Christian Kratochvil has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kratochvil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1444 vs Jr 1424
Kratochvil
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 40% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -2 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kratochvil)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13161781
Kratochvil1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 63 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil4wins
AwayJr6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil100%4 of 4
AwayJr100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Kratochvil6Jr4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S3Kratochvil5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S4Kratochvil3Jr5n = 8Jr took 5 of 8
S5Kratochvil1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilJrK − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.9−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilJrBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 438 vs 251 / 53755.5%46.7%243 / 438 vs 251 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil51129118113A. Jr49101181192
LSep 8 · 15:25C. Kratochvil31911291A. Jr4011711113
WJul 1 · 21:55C. Kratochvil4111118113A. Jr28671141
LJul 1 · 21:25C. Kratochvil2561180A. Jr351113113
LJun 7 · 08:20C. Kratochvil4751113992A. Jr511171111113
LMay 31 · 14:04C. Kratochvil31512771A. Jr43111011113
WMay 31 · 12:55C. Kratochvil351113113A. Jr2121180
WApr 8 · 12:20C. Kratochvil50111117113A. Jr41861981
LMar 25 · 22:49C. Kratochvil47162111172A. Jr52181166113
LMar 25 · 21:50C. Kratochvil377911101A. Jr3911115123
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil1.5712119213Z. Dusek2.2510611191LSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113LSep 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil2.401111101142B. Budik1.50139128113WSep 19 · 20:55T. Rein2.759860C. Kratochvil1.401111113LSep 19 · 20:25B. Budik1.441110811113C. Kratochvil2.4031211882WSep 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.381211153J. Dohnal1.53108140WSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113LSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951WSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil1.73129118113A. Jr2.00101181192
A. Jr10
LSep 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.638111271L. Rek1.4411714113WSep 20 · 11:25Z. Dusek1.839550A. Jr1.831111113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Jr2.105111191V. Koutnik1.6511138113WSep 19 · 17:25A. Jr2.2511116113V. Koutnik1.57741151WSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113LSep 19 · 15:25C. Kratochvil1.73129118113A. Jr2.00101181192LSep 18 · 13:55L. Rek1.501211113A. Jr2.4510660WSep 18 · 12:20P. Kubat2.6310820A. Jr1.441211113LSep 18 · 11:50L. Rek1.5711114113A. Jr2.25681181WSep 18 · 10:50A. Jr1.73121511113T. Jr2.001017671
Upcoming Matches
C. Kratochvil
Nothing scheduled
A. Jr
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