TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
David Szotek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Zbynek Pagac
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeZbynek Pagac to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Zbynek Pagac below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Zbynek Pagac at 55.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H David Szotek 10–14 Zbynek Pagac David Szotek has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pagac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Pagac
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotek 1594 vs Pagac 1673
Pagac
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotek 40% vs Pagac 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotek 30% vs Pagac 60%
Pagac
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotek +1 · Pagac -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pagac) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pagac form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotek 1.91 / Pagac 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pagac)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164378
Szotek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 46 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Pagac1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotek4wins
AwayPagac6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPagac leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotek57.1%4 of 7
AwayPagac100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotek7Pagac3n = 10Szotek took 7 of 10
S2Szotek4Pagac6n = 10Pagac took 6 of 10
S3Szotek3Pagac7n = 10Pagac took 7 of 10
S4Szotek3Pagac1n = 4Szotek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotekPagacS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.135.9−2.8per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotekPagacBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 363 vs 325 / 67945.5%47.9%165 / 363 vs 325 / 679Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacSzotek 1.91/Pagac 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 16:30D. Szotek2112540Z. Pagac361411113
WAug 25 · 18:30D. Szotek331111113Z. Pagac216690
WAug 25 · 14:00D. Szotek361411113Z. Pagac2612590
LAug 24 · 12:00D. Szotek219750Z. Pagac331111113
WAug 21 · 21:28D. Szotek331111113Z. Pagac217950
LAug 21 · 19:30D. Szotek48111071282Z. Pagac539121110113
LAug 20 · 15:00D. Szotek29116571Z. Pagac4181111113
LAug 19 · 16:30D. Szotek4512691172Z. Pagac511011118113
WAug 16 · 12:30D. Szotek4711128163Z. Pagac4491011141
LAug 13 · 20:58D. Szotek184680Z. Pagac331111113
D. Szotek10
LSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek2.101111113D. Szotek1.679580WSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143LSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540WSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113LSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113
Z. Pagac10
LSep 21 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.50114641M. Chalupa1.5071111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Chalupa1.441111113Z. Pagac2.639950WSep 19 · 12:30R. Hudeczek1.67111191092Z. Pagac2.10571112113WSep 19 · 11:30Z. Pagac2.50111185113F. Nadymacek1.5079111182LSep 19 · 10:30M. Chalupa1.5311812113Z. Pagac2.389111081LSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113WSep 17 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.83121173113T. Kypr1.83104111172LSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113WSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113WSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.