TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140648
Played Sep 17Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210114711311117
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 87 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 4–3 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kypr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1691 vs Kypr 1632
Pagac
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 80% vs Kypr 60%
Pagac
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 80% vs Kypr 50%
Pagac
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac -1 · Kypr +3
Kypr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pagac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.83 / Kypr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kypr)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140648
Pagac1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kypr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePagac4wins
AwayKypr3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderPagac leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac75%3 of 4
AwayKypr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac4Kypr3n = 7Pagac took 4 of 7
S2Pagac5Kypr2n = 7Pagac took 5 of 7
S3Pagac2Kypr5n = 7Kypr took 5 of 7
S4Pagac3Kypr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPagacKyprP − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.437.4+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 673 vs 64 / 11747.9%54.7%322 / 673 vs 64 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprPagac 1.83/Kypr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac331111113T. Kypr239860
WSep 15 · 14:30Z. Pagac4011117113T. Kypr32961161
WSep 11 · 17:30Z. Pagac49711611143T. Kypr45113118122
LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac41149991T. Kypr45121111113
WSep 10 · 21:28Z. Pagac43111110113T. Kypr28661241
LSep 10 · 20:00Z. Pagac31813551T. Kypr44111111113
LSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac399713101T. Kypr45111111123
Z. Pagac10
LSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113LSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113WSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113WSep 17 · 17:30Z. Pagac1.501111113D. Unzeitig2.504380WSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113WSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 17:29R. Hudeczek1.50119761Z. Pagac2.5091111113LSep 16 · 16:00R. Hudeczek1.6781111113Z. Pagac2.10119481WSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113
T. Kypr10
LSep 17 · 21:28T. Kypr2.101111831M. Chalupa1.6791311113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Kypr1.531111123M. Holub2.3888100WSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113WSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113LSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113LSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac2.001111113T. Kypr1.739860WSep 15 · 16:58T. Kypr1.53711611113L. Kern2.3811211792WSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113LSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102
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