TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129917
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41114121189111210
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 102 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 65.3%
102 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 1–3 Tomas Kypr Marek Holub has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kypr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kypr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1551 vs Kypr 1694
Kypr
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 20% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 40% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +1 · Kypr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.50 / Kypr 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kypr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129917
Holub2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Kypr1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 32 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHolub1wins
AwayKypr3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKypr leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolubn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKypr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub1Kypr3n = 4Kypr took 3 of 4
S2Holub2Kypr2n = 4split evenly
S3Holub2Kypr2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricHolubKyprH − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match29.835.0−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 325 vs 59 / 10846.8%54.6%152 / 325 vs 59 / 108Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprHolub 2.50/Kypr 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub4391111482T. Kypr49118811113
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub189720T. Kypr331111113
WSep 3 · 19:30M. Holub361112133T. Kypr25410110
LAug 14 · 15:30M. Holub225890T. Kypr331111113
M. Holub10
WSep 15 · 14:00L. Kern1.505380M. Holub2.501111113LSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113LSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112LSep 9 · 16:30L. Kern1.50941411113M. Holub2.50111112842WSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292WSep 9 · 14:30D. Szotek1.611271191M. Holub2.2014119113LSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172
T. Kypr10
LSep 15 · 14:30T. Kypr1.61961161Z. Pagac2.2011117113LSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113WSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961LSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113
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