TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140402
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181210––––
Marek Holub
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 63.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 5–3 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kypr
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kypr 1615 vs Holub 1558
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kypr 40% vs Holub 20%
Kypr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kypr 40% vs Holub 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kypr +2 · Holub -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.53 / Holub 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kypr)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140402
Kypr1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Holub2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 77 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKypr5wins
AwayHolub3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKypr leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKypr71.4%5 of 7
AwayHolubn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kypr7Holub1n = 8Kypr took 7 of 8
S2Kypr4Holub4n = 8split evenly
S3Kypr4Holub4n = 8split evenly
S4Kypr3Holub1n = 4Kypr took 3 of 4
S5Kypr1Holub2n = 3Holub took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKyprHolubK − HBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match39.532.5+7.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 118 vs 155 / 33554.2%46.3%64 / 118 vs 155 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKypr 1.53/Holub 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 17 · 19:30T. Kypr341111123M. Holub2688100
WSep 16 · 17:08T. Kypr3811511113M. Holub25711161
LSep 16 · 16:30T. Kypr52111112992M. Holub40131411113
LSep 15 · 15:00T. Kypr521112811102M. Holub50414119123
WSep 11 · 16:00T. Kypr49118811113M. Holub4391111482
WSep 3 · 21:00T. Kypr331111113M. Holub189720
LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr25410110M. Holub361112133
WAug 14 · 15:30T. Kypr331111113M. Holub225890
T. Kypr10
LSep 17 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.83121173113T. Kypr1.83104111172WSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113WSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113LSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113LSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac2.001111113T. Kypr1.739860WSep 15 · 16:58T. Kypr1.53711611113L. Kern2.3811211792WSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113LSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102LSep 15 · 14:30T. Kypr1.61961161Z. Pagac2.2011117113
M. Holub10
WSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113LSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113LSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113LSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113WSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113LSep 16 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10511691WSep 15 · 17:30M. Holub2.381111113Z. Pagac1.538570LSep 15 · 16:30M. Holub2.25117661Z. Pagac1.5781111113WSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102
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