TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134275
Played Sep 16Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611116119––
Marek Holub
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 58.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 19–18 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1703 vs Holub 1561
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 60% vs Holub 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 60% vs Holub 40%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek +1 · Holub +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hudeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 1.67 / Holub 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134275
Hudeczek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 60 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Holub2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 76 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek6wins
AwayHolub4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek83.3%5 of 6
AwayHolub75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek6Holub4n = 10Hudeczek took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek7Holub3n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S3Hudeczek4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Hudeczek1Holub6n = 7Holub took 6 of 7
S5Hudeczek4Holub1n = 5Hudeczek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekHolubHudeczek − HolubBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.9−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 355 vs 154 / 32849%47%174 / 355 vs 154 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekHudeczek 1.67/Holub 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:30R. Hudeczek49111161292M. Holub54991114113
WSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek46113138113M. Holub47711111172
WSep 7 · 19:00R. Hudeczek531611114113M. Holub48141341162
LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek25911321M. Holub4011711113
LSep 1 · 19:00R. Hudeczek29141050M. Holub391612113
WAug 17 · 14:00R. Hudeczek50711614123M. Holub531191112102
WJul 29 · 17:28R. Hudeczek331111113M. Holub238870
LJul 29 · 14:30R. Hudeczek29711651M. Holub4011711113
WJul 26 · 21:12R. Hudeczek521111127113M. Holub5099141172
WJul 26 · 19:00R. Hudeczek331111113M. Holub259970
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113WSep 13 · 17:29Z. Pagac2.005660R. Hudeczek1.731111113LSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101WSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.0011531132R. Hudeczek1.73811117113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111LSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.83951111133R. Hudeczek1.83111157112WSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123WSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120
M. Holub10
LSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113WSep 15 · 17:30M. Holub2.381111113Z. Pagac1.538570LSep 15 · 16:30M. Holub2.25117661Z. Pagac1.5781111113WSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102WSep 15 · 14:00L. Kern1.505380M. Holub2.501111113LSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113LSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112
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