TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119543
Played Sep 13Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511311117311
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeZbynek Pagac to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 81 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Zbynek Pagac at 57.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 45–39 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 39 of their 84 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hudeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-39 in 84
Pagac
Wrong
gap of 6 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1626 vs Hudeczek 1685
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 80% vs Hudeczek 60%
Pagac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 80% vs Hudeczek 50%
Pagac
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac +3 · Hudeczek +1
Pagac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pagac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 2.00 / Hudeczek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119543
Pagac2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 97 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Hudeczek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 59 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac5wins
AwayHudeczek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac60%3 of 5
AwayHudeczek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S2Pagac6Hudeczek4n = 10Pagac took 6 of 10
S3Pagac2Hudeczek8n = 10Hudeczek took 8 of 10
S4Pagac3Hudeczek3n = 6split evenly
S5Pagac3Hudeczek1n = 4Pagac took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacHudeczekP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.8−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 656 vs 172 / 35247.4%48.9%311 / 656 vs 172 / 352Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekPagac 2.00/Hudeczek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 20:30Z. Pagac33511891R. Hudeczek4211911113
LSep 4 · 17:30Z. Pagac311164101R. Hudeczek4061111123
WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac521111811113R. Hudeczek4991311792
LSep 1 · 21:00Z. Pagac197480R. Hudeczek331111113
LSep 1 · 20:30Z. Pagac4311118762R. Hudeczek49791111113
WAug 26 · 19:00Z. Pagac331111113R. Hudeczek236890
WAug 25 · 21:04Z. Pagac331111113R. Hudeczek186660
LAug 25 · 20:00Z. Pagac25104110R. Hudeczek361211133
WAug 21 · 18:30Z. Pagac49711811123R. Hudeczek48119117102
WAug 21 · 17:29Z. Pagac517111111113R. Hudeczek5011913892
Z. Pagac10
WSep 13 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.53121112462Z. Pagac2.381061411113WSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871WSep 12 · 12:00Z. Pagac1.671311133M. Bereiter2.10119110LSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111LSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.83951111133R. Hudeczek1.83111157112WSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123WSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120WSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek2.209121111113D. Szotek1.6111145472LSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292LSep 9 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.83871181L. Kern1.8311118113WSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172
Upcoming Matches
Z. Pagac
R. Hudeczek
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