TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119489
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Hudeczek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181513115––––
David Szotek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Hudeczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hudeczek above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 63 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Roman Hudeczek at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hudeczek 6–7 David Szotek Roman Hudeczek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szotek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudeczek 1667 vs Szotek 1578
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudeczek 40% vs Szotek 20%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudeczek 40% vs Szotek 20%
Hudeczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudeczek -2 · Szotek -4
Szotek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudeczek 2.10 / Szotek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hudeczek)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119489
Hudeczek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 49 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back35% 20 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back25% 8 of 32
Szotek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 34 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHudeczek5wins
AwaySzotek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudeczek100%4 of 4
AwaySzotek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudeczek4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S2Hudeczek4Szotek6n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10
S3Hudeczek5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S4Hudeczek4Szotek1n = 5Hudeczek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHudeczekSzotekH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.0+1.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudeczekSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 351 vs 163 / 36048.7%45.3%171 / 351 vs 163 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotekHudeczek 2.10/Szotek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szotek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 19:00R. Hudeczek4111711123D. Szotek345118101
LSep 9 · 17:15R. Hudeczek3099120D. Szotek361111143
WSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek549121111113D. Szotek4111145472
LSep 7 · 20:00R. Hudeczek50711121192D. Szotek51117148113
LAug 25 · 19:30R. Hudeczek217860D. Szotek331111113
LAug 24 · 15:00R. Hudeczek1911350D. Szotek351311113
LAug 21 · 20:00R. Hudeczek421511881D. Szotek4417511113
WAug 19 · 17:00R. Hudeczek331111113D. Szotek209740
WAug 19 · 14:00R. Hudeczek331111113D. Szotek209470
WAug 16 · 11:00R. Hudeczek4011711113D. Szotek36911971
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.0011531132R. Hudeczek1.73811117113LSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111LSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.83951111133R. Hudeczek1.83111157112WSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123WSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120WSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek2.209121111113D. Szotek1.6111145472LSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292LSep 9 · 14:00R. Hudeczek1.83871181L. Kern1.8311118113WSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172
D. Szotek10
WSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113LSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123WSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120LSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek2.209121111113D. Szotek1.6111145472
Upcoming Matches
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D. Szotek
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