TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125812
Played Sep 13Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Roman Hudeczek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-8
Point 29 set 2, 5-8
29 points drawn · the score is 21 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 45–40 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 40 of their 85 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudeczek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 2.00 / Hudeczek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hudeczek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125812
Pagac2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 97 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Hudeczek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 59 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac4wins
AwayHudeczek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac50%3 of 6
AwayHudeczek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac6Hudeczek4n = 10Pagac took 6 of 10
S2Pagac5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pagac2Hudeczek8n = 10Hudeczek took 8 of 10
S4Pagac3Hudeczek3n = 6split evenly
S5Pagac2Hudeczek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacHudeczekP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.138.6−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 658 vs 173 / 35447.4%48.9%312 / 658 vs 173 / 354Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudeczekPagac 2.00/Hudeczek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hudeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac3311531132R. Hudeczek48811117113
LSep 4 · 20:30Z. Pagac33511891R. Hudeczek4211911113
LSep 4 · 17:30Z. Pagac311164101R. Hudeczek4061111123
WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac521111811113R. Hudeczek4991311792
LSep 1 · 21:00Z. Pagac197480R. Hudeczek331111113
LSep 1 · 20:30Z. Pagac4311118762R. Hudeczek49791111113
WAug 26 · 19:00Z. Pagac331111113R. Hudeczek236890
WAug 25 · 21:04Z. Pagac331111113R. Hudeczek186660
LAug 25 · 20:00Z. Pagac25104110R. Hudeczek361211133
WAug 21 · 18:30Z. Pagac49711811123R. Hudeczek48119117102
Z. Pagac10
WSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540LSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.0011531132R. Hudeczek1.73811117113WSep 13 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.53121112462Z. Pagac2.381061411113WSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871WSep 12 · 12:00Z. Pagac1.671311133M. Bereiter2.10119110LSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113
R. Hudeczek10
LSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101WSep 13 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.0011531132R. Hudeczek1.73811117113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111LSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.83951111133R. Hudeczek1.83111157112WSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123WSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121LSep 9 · 17:15D. Szotek1.751111143R. Hudeczek1.9599120WSep 9 · 16:00R. Hudeczek2.209121111113D. Szotek1.6111145472LSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292
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