TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129659
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711911611––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 66.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kern 2–9 Tomas Kypr Lukas Kern has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Kypr
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kern 1584 vs Kypr 1679
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kern 40% vs Kypr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kern 40% vs Kypr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kern +1 · Kypr -3
Kypr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 2.63 / Kypr 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kypr)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129659
Kern2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Kypr1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 32 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKern2wins
AwayKypr8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKypr leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKernn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKypr87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kern2Kypr8n = 10Kypr took 8 of 10
S2Kern1Kypr9n = 10Kypr took 9 of 10
S3Kern4Kypr6n = 10Kypr took 6 of 10
S4Kern4Kypr3n = 7Kern took 4 of 7
S5Kern2Kypr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKernKyprKern − KyprBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.7−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 268 vs 59 / 10951.9%54.1%139 / 268 vs 59 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKern 2.63/Kypr 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 13 · 21:30L. Kern31751181T. Kypr3611113113
LJun 13 · 20:30L. Kern451111111112T. Kypr51813116133
LMay 29 · 21:30L. Kern189450T. Kypr331111113
LMay 29 · 19:30L. Kern178810T. Kypr331111113
LMay 21 · 21:00L. Kern4298111132T. Kypr47111159113
LMay 21 · 20:30L. Kern33851461T. Kypr45111112113
WMay 10 · 16:00L. Kern48961111113T. Kypr4311116692
LApr 24 · 21:30L. Kern381011981T. Kypr4012611113
WApr 24 · 19:00L. Kern461131011113T. Kypr3401112562
LApr 23 · 21:30L. Kern29101090T. Kypr351212113
L. Kern10
WSep 15 · 15:30Z. Pagac3.257590L. Kern1.331111113LSep 15 · 14:00L. Kern1.505380M. Holub2.501111113LSep 10 · 21:29V. Burdik1.33631111113L. Kern3.2511115972WSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113WSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123LSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113WSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:30L. Kern2.00911100M. Chalupa1.731113123LSep 9 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.8311119113L. Kern1.83881121
T. Kypr10
LSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102LSep 15 · 14:30T. Kypr1.61961161Z. Pagac2.2011117113LSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113WSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961LSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133
Upcoming Matches
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T. Kypr
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