TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140048
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Chalupa
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Tomas Kypr
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Chalupa above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Chalupa 1–0 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chalupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chalupa 1663 vs Kypr 1604
Chalupa
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupa 40% vs Kypr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupa 50% vs Kypr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupa -1 · Kypr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.50 / Kypr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140048
Chalupa1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 113 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 102
Kypr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 18 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back48% 10 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChalupa1wins
AwayKypr0wins
Chalupa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChalupaKyprC − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.028.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 722 vs 62 / 11552.6%53.9%380 / 722 vs 62 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.50/Kypr 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa361411113T. Kypr2812970
M. Chalupa10
WSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113LSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143WSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101LSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.53121112462Z. Pagac2.381061411113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:00V. Burdik1.53111011143M. Chalupa2.388129121WSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123WSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111
T. Kypr10
WSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113LSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:30T. Kypr2.1071211362R. Hudeczek1.671110711113LSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac2.001111113T. Kypr1.739860WSep 15 · 16:58T. Kypr1.53711611113L. Kern2.3811211792WSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113LSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102LSep 15 · 14:30T. Kypr1.61961161Z. Pagac2.2011117113LSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113
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