TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13136004
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711112611117119
Lukas Kern
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 10–2 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kypr beat Kern 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.53 / Kern 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kypr)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13136004
Kypr1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 32 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Kern2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKypr8wins
AwayKern2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKypr leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKypr85.7%6 of 7
AwayKern33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kypr7Kern3n = 10Kypr took 7 of 10
S2Kypr9Kern1n = 10Kypr took 9 of 10
S3Kypr6Kern4n = 10Kypr took 6 of 10
S4Kypr4Kern4n = 8split evenly
S5Kypr2Kern2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyprKernKypr − KernBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.335.1+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprKernBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 110 vs 139 / 26954.6%51.7%60 / 110 vs 139 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKypr 1.53/Kern 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 16:00T. Kypr4181111113L. Kern33117961
WJun 13 · 21:30T. Kypr3611113113L. Kern31751181
WJun 13 · 20:30T. Kypr51813116133L. Kern451111111112
WMay 29 · 21:30T. Kypr331111113L. Kern189450
WMay 29 · 19:30T. Kypr331111113L. Kern178810
WMay 21 · 21:00T. Kypr47111159113L. Kern4298111132
WMay 21 · 20:30T. Kypr45111112113L. Kern33851461
LMay 10 · 16:00T. Kypr4311116692L. Kern48961111113
WApr 24 · 21:30T. Kypr4012611113L. Kern381011981
LApr 24 · 19:00T. Kypr3401112562L. Kern461131011113
T. Kypr10
WSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113LSep 15 · 15:00M. Holub2.50414119123T. Kypr1.501112811102LSep 15 · 14:30T. Kypr1.61961161Z. Pagac2.2011117113LSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:00M. Holub2.2591111482T. Kypr1.57118811113WSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961LSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113
L. Kern10
LSep 15 · 16:00L. Kern2.63117961T. Kypr1.4481111113WSep 15 · 15:30Z. Pagac3.257590L. Kern1.331111113LSep 15 · 14:00L. Kern1.505380M. Holub2.501111113LSep 10 · 21:29V. Burdik1.33631111113L. Kern3.2511115972WSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:30L. Kern2.7571240V. Burdik1.401114113WSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123LSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113WSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:30L. Kern2.00911100M. Chalupa1.731113123
Upcoming Matches
T. Kypr
L. Kern
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