TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125735
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Chalupa
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111214––––
David Szotek
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Chalupa above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 61 set 3, 12-14
61 points played in total.
H2H Michal Chalupa 18–16 David Szotek David Szotek has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Szotek beat Chalupa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.85 / Szotek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chalupa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125735
Chalupa1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Szotek1.85
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupa7wins
AwaySzotek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupa100%5 of 5
AwaySzotek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa5Szotek5n = 10split evenly
S2Chalupa3Szotek7n = 10Szotek took 7 of 10
S3Chalupa6Szotek4n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S4Chalupa4Szotek2n = 6Chalupa took 4 of 6
S5Chalupa3Szotek0n = 3Chalupa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupaSzotekC − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.335.7+3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 721 vs 164 / 36252.7%45.3%380 / 721 vs 164 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.85/Szotek 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szotek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 15:30M. Chalupa3091380D. Szotek371115113
WSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa484111111113D. Szotek3611621342
WSep 10 · 19:00M. Chalupa43101111113D. Szotek30127921
WSep 9 · 18:00M. Chalupa4211712123D. Szotek3541110101
WSep 7 · 21:30M. Chalupa331111113D. Szotek229760
WSep 7 · 19:30M. Chalupa46111111133D. Szotek389135111
WAug 31 · 13:00M. Chalupa541191112113D. Szotek4561181462
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Chalupa2798100D. Szotek341111123
LAug 25 · 21:28M. Chalupa164660D. Szotek331111113
WAug 25 · 20:30M. Chalupa5411101111113D. Szotek4781213772
M. Chalupa10
WSep 13 · 16:00M. Chalupa1.8311911123R. Hudeczek1.837114101LSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:00M. Chalupa1.53121112462Z. Pagac2.381061411113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:00V. Burdik1.53111011143M. Chalupa2.388129121WSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.679118101L. Kern2.1011711123WSep 9 · 21:29M. Chalupa1.9111119133R. Hudeczek1.809911111WSep 9 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.83951111133R. Hudeczek1.83111157112WSep 9 · 19:30L. Kern2.00911100M. Chalupa1.731113123
D. Szotek10
LSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540WSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113LSep 10 · 18:00V. Burdik1.801111143D. Szotek1.9189120WSep 9 · 20:58L. Kern1.6771290D. Szotek2.101114113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Szotek2.10116451L. Kern1.6731111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Szotek1.615118101R. Hudeczek2.2011711123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.