TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147834
Played Sep 17Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113118––––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 48 set 3, 11-8
48 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 31–9 Daniel Unzeitig Daniel Unzeitig has won 9 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pagac beat Unzeitig 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pagac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.50 / Unzeitig 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pagac)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147834
Pagac1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 117 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 78 of 99
Unzeitig2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 34 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac10wins
AwayUnzeitig0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPagac leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac100%5 of 5
AwayUnzeitig0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac5Unzeitig5n = 10split evenly
S2Pagac8Unzeitig2n = 10Pagac took 8 of 10
S3Pagac8Unzeitig2n = 10Pagac took 8 of 10
S4Pagac5Unzeitig2n = 7Pagac took 5 of 7
S5Pagac4Unzeitig0n = 4Pagac took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacUnzeitigP − UBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.235.0+7.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 670 vs 143 / 30347.8%47.2%320 / 670 vs 143 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacPagac 1.50/Unzeitig 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac3961111113D. Unzeitig35117891
WSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac4061112113D. Unzeitig361181071
WSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac331111113D. Unzeitig228680
WSep 10 · 19:00Z. Pagac549111112113D. Unzeitig4211751452
WAug 4 · 06:30Z. Pagac331111113D. Unzeitig198650
WAug 3 · 10:00Z. Pagac48119116113D. Unzeitig4181151162
WJul 18 · 15:00Z. Pagac501151112113D. Unzeitig44711131032
WJul 8 · 08:30Z. Pagac47811512113D. Unzeitig48119111072
WJun 28 · 20:30Z. Pagac331111113D. Unzeitig237790
WJun 24 · 19:30Z. Pagac45101311113D. Unzeitig401211891
Z. Pagac10
WSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113WSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113WSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 17:29R. Hudeczek1.50119761Z. Pagac2.5091111113LSep 16 · 16:00R. Hudeczek1.6781111113Z. Pagac2.10119481WSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113WSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac2.001111113T. Kypr1.739860LSep 15 · 17:30M. Holub2.381111113Z. Pagac1.538570WSep 15 · 16:30M. Holub2.25117661Z. Pagac1.5781111113
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113WSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360WSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680WSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532
Upcoming Matches
Z. Pagac
D. Unzeitig
Nothing scheduled
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