Jachym Sebl vs Jean-Baptiste Cousin 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 20Finished

Jachym Sebl

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

15131113119114––

Jean-Baptiste Cousin

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJachym Sebl above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below

Set 1 · 15-13

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 87 set 4, 11-4

87 points played in total.

H2H Jachym Sebl 14–8 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 8 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Sebl beat Cousin 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sebl)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSebl 1.57 / Cousin 2.25

Signal prob.63% / 37%

Edge (Sebl)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13163816

Sebl1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite65% won 80 of 124

Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54

Up 1–0, closes it78% 64 of 82

Cousin2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog36% won 28 of 78

Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSebl7wins

AwayCousin3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderSebl leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSebl70%7 of 10

AwayCousinn = 0, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sebl10Cousin0n = 10Sebl took 10 of 10

S2Sebl7Cousin3n = 10Sebl took 7 of 10

S3Sebl8Cousin2n = 10Sebl took 8 of 10

S4Sebl1Cousin3n = 4Cousin took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home660%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSeblCousinS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match35.826.9+8.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSeblCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 638 vs 233 / 43647.8%53.4%305 / 638 vs 233 / 436Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sebl

Sebl 1.57/Cousin 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.9%

Sebl · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Sebl won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl361114113J. Cousin2771280

WAug 22 · 12:55J. Sebl331111113J. Cousin132470

LAug 10 · 21:58J. Sebl351110771J. Cousin4391211113

WAug 10 · 20:55J. Sebl331111113J. Cousin177550

LAug 7 · 22:30J. Sebl4511811782J. Cousin44411711113

WAug 7 · 21:25J. Sebl3411111113J. Cousin30671161

WJul 7 · 18:50J. Sebl331111113J. Cousin135530

LMay 11 · 20:25J. Sebl4011711832J. Cousin38411111113

WApr 28 · 20:25J. Sebl361211133J. Cousin29108110

WApr 26 · 07:55J. Sebl331111113J. Cousin155640

J. Sebl10

LSep 20 · 08:55J. Sebl1.59101111892Z. Muhlhauser2.07127811113 LSep 20 · 07:55J. Sebl1.8591390V. Koutnik1.851115113 WSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl1.601114113J. Cousin2.2071280 WSep 13 · 14:25L. Rek2.255540J. Sebl1.551111113 WSep 13 · 12:55L. Jirka2.258720J. Sebl1.571111113 LSep 13 · 12:25L. Rek2.50111189113J. Sebl1.5088111152 WSep 13 · 11:25J. Sebl1.57111189113D. Zelezny2.2533111182 WSep 12 · 22:30J. Sebl2.25111011113J. Dohnal1.57812961 WSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny1.839101161J. Sebl1.8311129113 WSep 12 · 20:25J. Sebl2.7561111133J. Dohnal1.401196111

J. Cousin10

WSep 20 · 09:25V. Koutnik1.701448111J. Cousin2.02121111133 LSep 20 · 08:25J. Cousin2.2311620Z. Muhlhauser1.511311113 LSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl1.601114113J. Cousin2.2071280 LSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113 WSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191 LSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113 LSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113 WSep 18 · 22:30M. Boltik1.65610131162J. Cousin2.101112116113 LSep 18 · 21:25M. Boltik1.7313911113J. Cousin2.001111661 WSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991

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