TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14124118111113––
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Away
2.02
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:12 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 68.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 12–9 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Koutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-9 in 21
Koutnik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1625 vs Cousin 1426
Koutnik
Wrong
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 80% vs Cousin 20%
Koutnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 80% vs Cousin 40%
Koutnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik +3 · Cousin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Koutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.70 / Cousin 2.02
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Koutnik)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13163150
Koutnik1.70
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 45 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Cousin2.02
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik5wins
AwayCousin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik83.3%5 of 6
AwayCousin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik6Cousin4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S2Koutnik6Cousin4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik2Cousin8n = 10Cousin took 8 of 10
S4Koutnik5Cousin3n = 8Koutnik took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikCousinK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.036.7−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 363 vs 232 / 43548.2%53.3%175 / 363 vs 232 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.70/Cousin 2.02
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cousin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 14:55V. Koutnik351113113J. Cousin2151150
LAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik4781181192J. Cousin50119118113
WAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik43111110113J. Cousin30971221
LAug 16 · 10:55V. Koutnik25411371J. Cousin4211911113
WMar 28 · 16:55V. Koutnik48117711123J. Cousin45911114102
LFeb 28 · 16:25V. Koutnik29651171J. Cousin3811115113
LFeb 12 · 15:50V. Koutnik2711970J. Cousin351311113
WFeb 8 · 09:20V. Koutnik4011117113J. Cousin30661171
LFeb 7 · 14:25V. Koutnik27118531J. Cousin4071111113
WFeb 1 · 09:25V. Koutnik3911116113J. Cousin36891181
V. Koutnik10
WSep 20 · 10:34V. Koutnik1.831111113Z. Muhlhauser1.834580WSep 20 · 07:55J. Sebl1.8591390V. Koutnik1.851115113WSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 19 · 18:30A. Jr2.105111191V. Koutnik1.6511138113LSep 19 · 17:25A. Jr2.2511116113V. Koutnik1.57741151WSep 19 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.4411711113C. Kratochvil2.63911951WSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113WSep 18 · 14:00V. Koutnik1.801311113O. Knazik1.9011840WSep 18 · 12:55P. Vodal2.38511891V. Koutnik1.5311111113WSep 18 · 12:25O. Knazik1.571061191V. Koutnik2.2512119113
J. Cousin10
LSep 20 · 10:06J. Sebl1.57151111113J. Cousin2.251313941LSep 20 · 08:25J. Cousin2.2311620Z. Muhlhauser1.511311113LSep 20 · 06:55J. Sebl1.601114113J. Cousin2.2071280LSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113WSep 19 · 16:55J. Cousin1.5011119113C. Kratochvil2.50741191LSep 19 · 15:55J. Cousin1.4451113972A. Jr2.631191111113LSep 19 · 14:55J. Cousin1.9151150V. Koutnik1.801113113WSep 18 · 22:30M. Boltik1.65610131162J. Cousin2.101112116113LSep 18 · 21:25M. Boltik1.7313911113J. Cousin2.001111661WSep 18 · 20:25J. Cousin1.50101111113C. Kratochvil2.50127991
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.