TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 57.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 6–3 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Moshovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Moshovskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1521 vs Korobko 1466
Moshovskyi
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Korobko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Korobko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi +1 · Korobko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Moshovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moshovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.67 / Korobko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Moshovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161528
Moshovskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 38 of 54
Korobko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 37 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi6wins
AwayKorobko3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMoshovskyi leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKorobko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi5Korobko4n = 9Moshovskyi took 5 of 9
S2Moshovskyi6Korobko3n = 9Moshovskyi took 6 of 9
S3Moshovskyi4Korobko5n = 9Korobko took 5 of 9
S4Moshovskyi5Korobko4n = 9Moshovskyi took 5 of 9
S5Moshovskyi2Korobko1n = 3Moshovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiKorobkoM − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match43.840.3+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 333 vs 210 / 47055%44.7%183 / 333 vs 210 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.034.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoshovskyiMoshovskyi 1.67/Korobko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Moshovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moshovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi333111181V. Korobko4211713113
WAug 11 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi4291111113V. Korobko28112781
WAug 4 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi5310111011113V. Korobko4312512592
WJul 26 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi571113157113V. Korobko54711171182
WJul 21 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi3811213123V. Korobko4191111101
LJul 17 · 22:45V. Moshovskyi50111188122V. Korobko53891111143
WJul 11 · 24:45V. Moshovskyi43101111113V. Korobko32129561
WJun 30 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi43111011113V. Korobko31212981
LApr 21 · 01:00V. Moshovskyi35119781V. Korobko3961111113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 21 · 24:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113LSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113
V. Korobko10
LSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113WSep 21 · 24:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141LSep 20 · 22:45V. Korobko3.50154761D. Maltsev1.28131111113WSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061LSep 19 · 01:49V. Korobko1.530411111S. Prus2.3811114133WSep 18 · 23:45S. Prus2.257131281V. Korobko1.57111510113LSep 18 · 22:45V. Korobko2.0011111091M. Slozka1.7391312113WSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163WSep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.735680V. Korobko2.001111113
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