TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119119––––
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 28–16 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Moshovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-16 in 44
Moshovskyi
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1504 vs Maltsev 1590
Maltsev
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 20% vs Maltsev 80%
Maltsev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Maltsev 70%
Maltsev
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -1 · Maltsev +4
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.73 / Maltsev 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maltsev)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13160852
Moshovskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 38 of 54
Maltsev2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 80 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi4wins
AwayMaltsev6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi80%4 of 5
AwayMaltsev100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S2Moshovskyi4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S3Moshovskyi4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S4Moshovskyi4Maltsev4n = 8split evenly
S5Moshovskyi1Maltsev2n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiMaltsevMoshovskyi − MaltsevBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.2−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 332 vs 457 / 88454.8%51.7%182 / 332 vs 457 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevMoshovskyi 1.73/Maltsev 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moshovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi5311111010113D. Maltsev4668121282
LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi48137117102D. Maltsev511111611123
LAug 28 · 22:15V. Moshovskyi47610111282D. Maltsev471112310113
WAug 26 · 06:35V. Moshovskyi4011117113D. Maltsev31961151
LAug 19 · 10:05V. Moshovskyi30101370D. Maltsev381215113
LAug 8 · 06:25V. Moshovskyi30481171D. Maltsev3511112113
WAug 4 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi4911168143D. Maltsev4691411121
LAug 3 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi281011431D. Maltsev3912511113
LJul 20 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi148150D. Maltsev331111113
WJul 17 · 21:15V. Moshovskyi4012611113D. Maltsev361011781
V. Moshovskyi10
LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113LSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980WSep 20 · 22:45V. Korobko3.50154761D. Maltsev1.28131111113WSep 20 · 21:15D. Maltsev1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007560WSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:00V. Kovalchuk1.33111011113D. Maltsev3.25312991WSep 18 · 23:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0012541152D. Maltsev1.731011118113LSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113WSep 18 · 21:00O. Budnikov1.6758111172D. Maltsev2.10111138113WSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282
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