TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1513411711611––
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 77.0% is still 77.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
77.0%
77.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 77.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 12–21 Denys Maltsev Volodymyr Korobko has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-21 in 33
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1475 vs Maltsev 1568
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 60% vs Maltsev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Maltsev 70%
Maltsev
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Maltsev +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Maltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 3.50 / Maltsev 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Maltsev)+3.9pp
Setka Cup · #13160791
Korobko3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 37 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Maltsev1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it87% 67 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 84 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko1wins
AwayMaltsev9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMaltsev100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko1Maltsev9n = 10Maltsev took 9 of 10
S2Korobko2Maltsev8n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10
S3Korobko3Maltsev7n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S4Korobko3Maltsev1n = 4Korobko took 3 of 4
S5Korobko0Maltsev3n = 3Maltsev took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoMaltsevK − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.737.7−10.0per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 470 vs 455 / 88244.7%51.6%210 / 470 vs 455 / 882Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevKorobko 3.50/Maltsev 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko206680D. Maltsev331111113
LSep 8 · 02:15V. Korobko4041111862D. Maltsev46119411113
LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko112540D. Maltsev331111113
LAug 29 · 20:00V. Korobko155460D. Maltsev331111113
LAug 24 · 21:30V. Korobko154650D. Maltsev331111113
LAug 20 · 20:45V. Korobko528101311102D. Maltsev501112114123
WAug 17 · 21:30V. Korobko3611113113D. Maltsev31871151
LAug 4 · 01:00V. Korobko2311570D. Maltsev351311113
LJul 20 · 20:30V. Korobko43111111192D. Maltsev50111396113
LJul 18 · 01:15V. Korobko228590D. Maltsev331111113
V. Korobko10
WSep 20 · 20:45V. Korobko3.50101112113M. Potapov1.281281061LSep 19 · 01:49V. Korobko1.530411111S. Prus2.3811114133WSep 18 · 23:45S. Prus2.257131281V. Korobko1.57111510113LSep 18 · 22:45V. Korobko2.0011111091M. Slozka1.7391312113WSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163WSep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.735680V. Korobko2.001111113LSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113LSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980WSep 20 · 21:15D. Maltsev1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007560WSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101LSep 19 · 01:00V. Kovalchuk1.33111011113D. Maltsev3.25312991WSep 18 · 23:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0012541152D. Maltsev1.731011118113LSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113WSep 18 · 21:00O. Budnikov1.6758111172D. Maltsev2.10111138113WSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 10:05D. Maltsev2.204680O. Storozhenko1.611111113WSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Korobko
D. Maltsev
Sep 21 · 24:45D. Maltsev2.00V. Moshovskyi1.73—Sep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.50I. Pytsko1.50—Sep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83Y. Parahailo1.83—Sep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50I. Pytsko1.50—Sep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.83M. Potapov1.83—Sep 21 · 16:55D. Maltsev2.00O. Storozhenko1.73—Sep 21 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—
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