TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111412811118118
Michal Syroha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Michal Syroha at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 11–11 Michal Syroha Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1234 vs Syroha 1285
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 40% vs Syroha 80%
Syroha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 60% vs Syroha 90%
Syroha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas -2 · Syroha +3
Syroha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 2.00 / Syroha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syroha)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160332
Lubas2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Syroha1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLubas3wins
AwaySyroha7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLubas66.7%2 of 3
AwaySyroha85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas3Syroha7n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S2Lubas3Syroha7n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Lubas5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S4Lubas6Syroha1n = 7Lubas took 6 of 7
S5Lubas2Syroha5n = 7Syroha took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLubasSyrohaL − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.9−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 331 vs 349 / 69048.3%50.6%160 / 331 vs 349 / 690Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaLubas 2.00/Syroha 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 19:00M. Lubas53914811113M. Syroha50111211882
LAug 13 · 20:30M. Lubas49101181192M. Syroha47125118113
LAug 1 · 11:30M. Lubas4276111172M. Syroha45111193113
WJul 12 · 17:03M. Lubas331111113M. Syroha185490
WJul 12 · 14:00M. Lubas481110115113M. Syroha4591261172
LJun 28 · 15:30M. Lubas195680M. Syroha331111113
LJun 14 · 16:30M. Lubas126330M. Syroha331111113
LSep 14 · 10:00M. Lubas461041111102M. Syroha49121159123
LMay 24 · 06:00M. Lubas48126911102M. Syroha521011118123
LMay 3 · 09:30M. Lubas49810111192M. Syroha47111294113
M. Lubas10
LSep 20 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.0011124113M. Lubas1.739101181LSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251WSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113WSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182LSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452
M. Syroha10
LSep 20 · 20:00J. Grohsgott1.7311711113M. Syroha2.00911591WSep 20 · 18:30M. Syroha1.8381411113J. Svec1.831112791WSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142LSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik2.5071111113M. Syroha1.50116871WSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551WSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980
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