TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111412117119––
Jiri Svec
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Syroha at 62.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 19–14 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Syroha
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1305 vs Svec 1252
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Svec 40%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 80% vs Svec 30%
Syroha
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +2 · Svec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.83 / Svec 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Syroha)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159068
Syroha1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Svec1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha3wins
AwaySvec7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyrohan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvec75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha2Svec8n = 10Svec took 8 of 10
S2Syroha5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S3Syroha1Svec9n = 10Svec took 9 of 10
S4Syroha3Svec3n = 6split evenly
S5Syroha2Svec1n = 3Syroha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaSvecSyroha − SvecBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.139.1−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 687 vs 390 / 84650.7%46.1%348 / 687 vs 390 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.83/Svec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha2291120J. Svec351113113
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha219570J. Svec331111113
WAug 29 · 21:30M. Syroha534121212133J. Svec5611101410112
LAug 29 · 19:30M. Syroha2511680J. Svec351311113
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Syroha32411891J. Svec4211911113
LAug 28 · 17:00M. Syroha177460J. Svec331111113
WAug 28 · 14:00M. Syroha49811118113J. Svec4411771182
WAug 2 · 10:00M. Syroha3511112113J. Svec29741171
LAug 1 · 16:58M. Syroha313116111J. Svec3911411133
LAug 1 · 14:00M. Syroha3611331182J. Svec45311119113
M. Syroha10
LSep 20 · 19:00M. Lubas2.00914811113M. Syroha1.73111211882WSep 20 · 13:30M. Syroha1.481111133Z. Kasinski2.4576110WSep 20 · 12:00M. Syroha2.50711138113V. Stach1.50119111142LSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik2.5071111113M. Syroha1.50116871WSep 20 · 10:00M. Syroha1.5071111113Z. Kasinski2.50118551WSep 19 · 09:28M. Syroha1.36118911113M. Vrabec3.0091111082WSep 19 · 08:00M. Syroha1.441111113M. Vrabec2.636520WSep 19 · 07:30L. Novotny3.509980M. Syroha1.281111113WSep 19 · 06:00M. Syroha1.671111113J. Hyrsl2.108980WSep 16 · 02:58M. Syroha1.67111111133L. Madle2.101357111
J. Svec10
WSep 20 · 19:30J. Svec1.9171111113J. Grohsgott1.80117681WSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131LSep 17 · 20:30J. Grohsgott1.611091111113J. Svec2.2012117582LSep 17 · 19:30J. Svec2.755540J. Strnad1.401111113WSep 17 · 18:30M. Barta1.538760J. Svec2.381111113LSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113LSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123LSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Syroha
Nothing scheduled
J. Svec
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