TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159430
Played Sep 20Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811118114––
Dawid Pyrek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1311811118114––
H2H Andriej Fomin 5–5 Dawid Pyrek Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Pyrek beat Fomin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1476 vs Pyrek 1294
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Pyrek 20%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Pyrek 20%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Pyrek -3
Pyrek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.57 / Pyrek 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159430
Fomin1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 279 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 216 of 242
Pyrek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 57 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayPyrek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%4 of 4
AwayPyrek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Pyrek6n = 10Pyrek took 6 of 10
S2Fomin6Pyrek4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Fomin6Pyrek4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin2Pyrek5n = 7Pyrek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominPyrekF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.936.1−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 921 vs 383 / 77958.5%49.2%539 / 921 vs 383 / 779Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.57/Pyrek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 16:00A. Fomin35691371D. Pyrek44111111113
WJun 25 · 03:30A. Fomin52912119113D. Pyrek41111011182
WJun 24 · 21:30A. Fomin4513115163D. Pyrek4011411141
WJun 5 · 02:10A. Fomin331111113D. Pyrek239860
LJun 4 · 23:05A. Fomin2274110D. Pyrek351111133
LOct 20 · 07:35A. Fomin29811281D. Pyrek3811511113
WOct 11 · 22:00A. Fomin3811511113D. Pyrek29911541
LOct 11 · 18:00A. Fomin33581461D. Pyrek45111112113
LSep 29 · 04:50A. Fomin32311991D. Pyrek3711411113
WSep 15 · 08:45A. Fomin401111183D. Pyrek2985160
A. Fomin10
WSep 19 · 22:25A. Fomin1.57891211113A. Kubiak2.20111110992LSep 19 · 21:10A. Fomin2.0565110J. Skorupa1.651111133WSep 19 · 20:00A. Kubiak2.3553111132A. Fomin1.54111169113LSep 19 · 19:10M. Guzik1.541111113A. Fomin2.259560LSep 19 · 18:25A. Fomin1.9511137692H. Tkaczyk1.749111111113WSep 19 · 16:50A. Fomin1.45813611113J. Skorupa2.45111111552LSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371WSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143WSep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.208711101A. Fomin1.6111119123WSep 16 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.631149111A. Fomin1.4491111133
D. Pyrek10
LSep 19 · 23:10D. Pyrek2.956370H. Tkaczyk1.361111113LSep 19 · 22:00D. Pyrek3.605560M. Guzik1.181111113LSep 19 · 20:20D. Pyrek1.86861131J. Skorupa1.8011119113WSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113LSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113WSep 19 · 16:00D. Pyrek2.45111111113A. Fomin1.47691371LSep 19 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.6041020O. Jedrzejowski1.411112113LSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113LSep 19 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113
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