TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158609
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Lovl
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111971112101315
Milan Flesar
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 106 set 5, 13-15
106 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 6–1 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Lovl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 1.25 / Flesar 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Lovl)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13158609
Lovl1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Flesar3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back26% 18 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLovl6wins
AwayFlesar1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderLovl leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLovl85.7%6 of 7
AwayFlesarn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lovl7Flesar0n = 7Lovl took 7 of 7
S2Lovl5Flesar2n = 7Lovl took 5 of 7
S3Lovl6Flesar1n = 7Lovl took 6 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home571%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLovlFlesarL − FBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match38.129.6+8.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 344 vs 218 / 41651.7%52.4%178 / 344 vs 218 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovlLovl 1.25/Flesar 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.4%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 19 · 06:35J. Lovl341112113M. Flesar2681080
WSep 6 · 06:35J. Lovl331111113M. Flesar225980
WAug 9 · 17:05J. Lovl331111113M. Flesar206860
LAug 9 · 15:35J. Lovl49119811102M. Flesar49611119123
WAug 3 · 15:35J. Lovl481131112113M. Flesar4151141472
WFeb 20 · 14:35J. Lovl371113133M. Flesar30811110
WFeb 20 · 12:05J. Lovl331111113M. Flesar195860
J. Lovl10
LSep 19 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.8311511113J. Lovl1.83911251LSep 19 · 07:35D. Hons2.2091111113J. Lovl1.61116681WSep 19 · 06:35J. Lovl1.251112113M. Flesar3.7581080LSep 13 · 17:34J. Lovl2.63811781R. Pokorny1.4411211113WSep 13 · 16:05J. Lovl2.7511101210113R. Pokorny1.40812101272WSep 13 · 15:05J. Lovl1.441111153K. Lahodny2.6378130WSep 13 · 14:05J. Lovl1.5011118123J. Vidourek2.405611101LSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl1.5312651182R. Neterda2.381011114113WSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113
M. Flesar10
LSep 19 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.331111113M. Flesar3.257290LSep 19 · 08:35M. Flesar3.5010710D. Hons1.281211113LSep 19 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.3611116113M. Flesar3.00571181LSep 19 · 06:35J. Lovl1.251112113M. Flesar3.7581080WSep 18 · 17:10M. Flesar1.5711911113M. Chmelicek2.25411241LSep 18 · 16:05M. Flesar2.381110961D. Hons1.5321211113WSep 18 · 15:05M. Flesar1.731112113M. Chmelicek2.0091040WSep 18 · 14:05M. Flesar1.73891111113T. Motacek2.0011118642LSep 16 · 13:10M. Flesar1.80117891M. Chmelicek1.9161111113WSep 16 · 12:05R. Vosyka1.3611116752M. Flesar3.00761111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Lovl
Nothing scheduled
M. Flesar
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.