TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124387
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Lovl
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181513––––
Krystof Lahodny
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeKrystof Lahodny to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 65 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Krystof Lahodny at 57.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 2–0 Krystof Lahodny Krystof Lahodny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lovl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lovl 1541 vs Lahodny 1560
Lahodny
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lovl 60% vs Lahodny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lovl 50% vs Lahodny 70%
Lahodny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lovl +1 · Lahodny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lovl) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lahodny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 1.44 / Lahodny 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Lovl)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13124387
Lovl1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Lahodny2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLovl2wins
AwayLahodny0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLovl leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLovlLahodnyLovl − LahodnyBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.035.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 338 vs 23 / 4951.8%46.9%175 / 338 vs 23 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovlLovl 1.44/Lahodny 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 21 · 13:10J. Lovl501112511113K. Lahodny4871411882
WAug 21 · 11:05J. Lovl341111123K. Lahodny2248100
J. Lovl10
WSep 13 · 16:05J. Lovl2.7571R. Pokorny1.4030WSep 13 · 14:05J. Lovl1.5011118123J. Vidourek2.405611101LSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl1.5312651182R. Neterda2.381011114113WSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113WSep 11 · 10:05R. Neterda2.00771211102J. Lovl1.731111101123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Lovl1.44891111113M. Chmelicek2.6311117962LSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda2.101111113J. Lovl1.676320WSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781WSep 13 · 13:40K. Lahodny1.5811911113P. Pesout2.20411481LSep 13 · 12:05K. Lahodny1.53781151J. Jr2.3811115113WSep 13 · 11:05K. Lahodny1.40115311113M. Chmelicek2.7571111752WSep 13 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.5361111113P. Pesout2.38117661WSep 12 · 21:34D. Hons1.836750K. Lahodny1.831111113WSep 12 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.506830K. Lahodny2.501111113WSep 12 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.251051371K. Lahodny1.57121111113LSep 12 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.1010119111D. Hons1.6712911133WSep 12 · 13:35K. Lahodny1.531311113T. Motacek2.3811370
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