TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Alexis Lebrun vs Ryoichi Yoshiyama 3-0 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 19Finished
Alexis Lebrun
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151131210––––
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Away
6.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexis Lebrun above · Ryoichi Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-8
Point 43 set 3, 5-8 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 54.0%
43 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Alexis Lebrun 1–0 Ryoichi Yoshiyama Ryoichi Yoshiyama has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:56What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Lebrun 80% vs Yoshiyama 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 70% vs Yoshiyama 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +2 · Yoshiyama +3
Yoshiyama
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.10 / Yoshiyama 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13158562
Lebrun1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Yoshiyama6.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLebrun1wins
AwayYoshiyama0wins
Lebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLebrunYoshiyamaL − YBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.018.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.10/Yoshiyama 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebrun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun341111123R. Yoshiyama1853100
A. Lebrun10
LSep 20 · 12:45A. Lebrun1.3611511662D. Qiu3.00611511114WSep 20 · 07:20A. Lebrun1.5361111113Q. Zhou2.38117581WSep 19 · 05:35A. Lebrun1.1071111113K. Stumper6.50113291WSep 18 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.021111123A. Levenko10.5057100LSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar5.001241131A. Lebrun1.1414119113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113
R. Yoshiyama10
WSep 19 · 06:45T. Pucar1.67711611112R. Yoshiyama2.10117117133WSep 18 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama2.2512511113T. Poret1.571011481WSep 17 · 02:00Y. Sakai2.7566111162R. Yoshiyama1.40111149113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Bertelsmeier2.3811511113R. Yoshiyama1.53711781WSep 10 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521WSep 10 · 03:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113
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