TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender AstanaMatch #13139533
Played Sep 17Finished
Yuhi Sakai
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611611114119611
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuhi Sakai above · Ryoichi Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 62.5%
86 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Yoshiyama
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Sakai 40% vs Yoshiyama 60%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sakai 50% vs Yoshiyama 80%
Yoshiyama
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sakai -2 · Yoshiyama -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Yoshiyama) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSakai 2.75 / Yoshiyama 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Yoshiyama)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13139533
Sakai2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Yoshiyama1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSakaiYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 8 / 1050%80%5 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshiyamaSakai 2.75/Yoshiyama 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Yoshiyama · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yoshiyama won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Sakai10
LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Sakai2.251176121M. Redzimski1.5781111143LJul 22 · 05:20Y. Sakai1.04611101182S. Arya9.00117128113WJul 21 · 04:35Y. Sakai—11113123K. Li—9911101LJun 2 · 17:20Y. Sakai1.3661181162F. Zeljko3.00118113113WJun 2 · 09:35Y. Sakai1.131111113R. Heras5.507190WJun 1 · 11:55Y. Sakai1.141111113S. Chowdhury5.007190LMay 30 · 11:20H. Kobayashi2.75147911113Y. Sakai1.40121111942WMay 29 · 16:50A. Noirault4.00165111092Y. Sakai1.221411812113LApr 11 · 04:10Y. Sakai1.807670T. Li1.911111113WApr 10 · 09:35Y. Tanaka1.301011771Y. Sakai3.4012611113
R. Yoshiyama10
LSep 11 · 14:25A. Bertelsmeier2.3811511113R. Yoshiyama1.53711781WSep 10 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521WSep 10 · 03:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:15J. Choi2.7211810131R. Yoshiyama1.3891112153WAug 7 · 06:20K. Li4.506650R. Yoshiyama1.171111113WAug 6 · 12:00Y. Malik—11570R. Yoshiyama—1311113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sakai
Nothing scheduled
R. Yoshiyama
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