TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13104126
Played Sep 10Finished
Yuhi Sakai
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1187116111214––
Milosz Redzimski
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMilosz Redzimski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuhi Sakai above · Milosz Redzimski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 80 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Milosz Redzimski at 55.8%
80 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:05What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Redzimski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Sakai 60% vs Redzimski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sakai 60% vs Redzimski 40%
Sakai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sakai -1 · Redzimski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Redzimski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sakai form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSakai 2.25 / Redzimski 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Redzimski)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13104126
Sakai2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Redzimski1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSakaiRedzimskiBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 4 / 1060%40%6 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RedzimskiSakai 2.25/Redzimski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Redzimski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Redzimski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Sakai10
LSep 17 · 02:00Y. Sakai2.7566111162R. Yoshiyama1.40111149113LJul 22 · 05:20Y. Sakai1.04611101182S. Arya9.00117128113WJul 21 · 04:35Y. Sakai—11113123K. Li—9911101LJun 2 · 17:20Y. Sakai1.3661181162F. Zeljko3.00118113113WJun 2 · 09:35Y. Sakai1.131111113R. Heras5.507190WJun 1 · 11:55Y. Sakai1.141111113S. Chowdhury5.007190LMay 30 · 11:20H. Kobayashi2.75147911113Y. Sakai1.40121111942WMay 29 · 16:50A. Noirault4.00165111092Y. Sakai1.221411812113LApr 11 · 04:10Y. Sakai1.807670T. Li1.911111113WApr 10 · 09:35Y. Tanaka1.301011771Y. Sakai3.4012611113
M. Redzimski10
LSep 12 · 08:50E. Ranefur1.361111113M. Redzimski3.005990WSep 11 · 09:00M. Redzimski1.6711118133J. Seyfried2.109011111LAug 12 · 17:45M. Redzimski3.75791111112J. Oh1.25111167133WAug 9 · 18:30J. Hung1.83911118112M. Redzimski1.83119711133WAug 9 · 13:50S. Walker3.7561040M. Redzimski1.251112113WAug 8 · 19:25Y. Batix8.005460M. Redzimski1.061111113LJun 29 · 20:10M. Redzimski3.40116491S. Gauzy1.3091111113LMay 31 · 11:40V. Ursu1.6712911113M. Redzimski2.101011881LMay 31 · 10:28J. Park2.3812511763M. Redzimski1.53101191142LMay 30 · 10:28M. Redzimski1.2811691142S. Kulczycki3.5071111553
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