TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar
WTT Feeder UlaanbaatarMatch #12276719
Played Jul 22Finished
Yuhi Sakai
Home
1.04
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111171012118811
Sarthak Arya
Away
9.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–2Last 8Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSarthak Arya to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuhi Sakai above · Sarthak Arya below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Sarthak Arya at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:04What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Sakai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Sakai 60% vs Arya 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sakai 70% vs Arya 75%
—
Too close
5pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sakai +1 · Arya +3
Arya
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Sakai) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arya form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSakai 1.04 / Arya 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Sakai)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar · #12276719
Sakai1.04
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Arya9.00
75%won 6 of 8 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSakaiAryaBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 970%77.8%7 / 10 vs 7 / 9Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SakaiSakai 1.04/Arya 9.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.6%
Sakai · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Arya won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Sakai10
WJul 21 · 04:35Y. Sakai—11113123K. Li—9911101LJun 2 · 17:20Y. Sakai1.3661181162F. Zeljko3.00118113113WJun 2 · 09:35Y. Sakai1.131111113R. Heras5.507190WJun 1 · 11:55Y. Sakai1.141111113S. Chowdhury5.007190LMay 30 · 11:20H. Kobayashi2.75147911113Y. Sakai1.40121111942WMay 29 · 16:50A. Noirault4.00165111092Y. Sakai1.221411812113LApr 11 · 04:10Y. Sakai1.807670T. Li1.911111113WApr 10 · 09:35Y. Tanaka1.301011771Y. Sakai3.4012611113WApr 9 · 10:45Q. Wong4.334970Y. Sakai1.201111113WApr 8 · 04:10Y. Sakai2.75111354133R. Ruiz1.408111111112
S. Arya10
LJul 22 · 10:50S. Arya2.65230Y. Malik1.401160WJul 21 · 04:15B. Basan—51160S. Arya—1111113WJul 20 · 10:20B. Akimali—961191S. Arya—11117113WJul 20 · 04:10S. Arya—111199113S. Palkhivala—74111142LJul 19 · 08:50S. Arya—4980S. Lee—1111113LJan 10 · 08:25P. Jain1.171111113S. Arya4.509560WJan 9 · 13:15S. Mishra—0S. Arya—3WJan 8 · 11:35R. Albuquerque—2S. Arya—3WJan 8 · 06:50S. Arya—3S. Sarkar—0WJan 7 · 12:50O. Ghosh—0S. Arya—3
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