TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13072238
Played Sep 4Finished
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111214––––
Evgeny Tikhonov
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvgeny Tikhonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRyoichi Yoshiyama above · Evgeny Tikhonov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 63 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Evgeny Tikhonov at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Yoshiyama
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yoshiyama 100% vs Tikhonov 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yoshiyama 80% vs Tikhonov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yoshiyama +5 · Tikhonov +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Yoshiyama) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tikhonov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYoshiyama 1.50 / Tikhonov 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Yoshiyama)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13072238
Yoshiyama1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Tikhonov2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYoshiyamaTikhonovBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 8 / 1080%80%8 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshiyamaYoshiyama 1.50/Tikhonov 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Yoshiyama · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tikhonov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Yoshiyama10
WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:15J. Choi2.7211810131R. Yoshiyama1.3891112153WAug 7 · 06:20K. Li4.506650R. Yoshiyama1.171111113WAug 6 · 12:00Y. Malik—11570R. Yoshiyama—1311113LJul 24 · 14:35R. Yoshiyama2.95911111042J. An1.3311591293WJul 23 · 21:45J. Zelinka6.504480R. Yoshiyama1.101111113LJul 5 · 08:45R. Yoshiyama1.92812671N. Artemenko1.76111011113WJul 4 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama1.601111113K. Yoshiyama2.169570
E. Tikhonov10
LSep 5 · 11:35E. Tikhonov2.35119971S. Gauzy1.5261111113WSep 5 · 05:35E. Tikhonov1.22911911113A. Kouraichi3.6011611772WSep 3 · 05:00E. Tikhonov2.2511811133N. Artemenko1.576114111WJul 28 · 13:15E. Tikhonov1.6112711123E. Dorr2.2010116101WJul 28 · 06:45E. Tikhonov1.5712912113F. Bourrassaud2.2510111091WJul 27 · 14:35K. Gerassimenko1.4211115552E. Tikhonov2.65871111113WJul 27 · 08:55M. Grebnev2.38311831E. Tikhonov1.5311811113WJul 26 · 07:20A. Kenzhigulov5.005101281E. Tikhonov1.14111210113LJul 4 · 10:20J. Hung1.501111113E. Tikhonov2.508660WJul 3 · 16:25E. Tikhonov1.441111113A. Istrate2.631950
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