TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13066023
Played Sep 3Finished
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115113––––
Iskender Kharki
Away
7.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:50 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRyoichi Yoshiyama above · Iskender Kharki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 79.4%
48 points played in total.
H2H Ryoichi Yoshiyama 1–0 Iskender Kharki Iskender Kharki has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Yoshiyama
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Yoshiyama 100% vs Kharki 60%
Yoshiyama
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yoshiyama 80% vs Kharki 40%
Yoshiyama
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yoshiyama +5 · Kharki +2
Yoshiyama
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Yoshiyama) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kharki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYoshiyama 1.08 / Kharki 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Yoshiyama)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13066023
Yoshiyama1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kharki7.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeYoshiyama1wins
AwayKharki0wins
Yoshiyama leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricYoshiyamaKharkiY − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.015.0+18.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYoshiyamaKharkiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 4 / 1080%40%8 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.71.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshiyamaYoshiyama 1.08/Kharki 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Yoshiyama · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yoshiyama won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama—1111113I. Kharki—7530
R. Yoshiyama10
LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:15J. Choi2.7211810131R. Yoshiyama1.3891112153WAug 7 · 06:20K. Li4.506650R. Yoshiyama1.171111113WAug 6 · 12:00Y. Malik—11570R. Yoshiyama—1311113LJul 24 · 14:35R. Yoshiyama2.95911111042J. An1.3311591293WJul 23 · 21:45J. Zelinka6.504480R. Yoshiyama1.101111113LJul 5 · 08:45R. Yoshiyama1.92812671N. Artemenko1.76111011113WJul 4 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama1.601111113K. Yoshiyama2.169570
I. Kharki10
WSep 2 · 13:20I. Kharki1.441111113B. Akimali2.638650WSep 2 · 07:05I. Kharki—11128113S. Kurmambayev—3101161LJul 25 · 14:05P. Suresh—811512123I. Kharki—1161110102LJul 25 · 05:35I. Kharki—9101171O. Kakharov—11122113WJul 24 · 12:25I. Kharki—1211113A. Karimjanov—10840LJul 21 · 11:25I. Kharki6.007680Y. Pang1.111111113LJul 21 · 03:00I. Kharki6.007680Y. Pang1.111111113LJun 16 · 16:00R. Walther1.1711211113I. Kharki4.50711391WJun 16 · 10:55R. Castro1.131181712102I. Kharki5.505111514123LJun 10 · 11:30A. Rassenfosse1.0811611123I. Kharki7.008118101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.