TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13063049
Played Sep 2Finished
Iskender Kharki
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116115––––
Bakdaulet Akimali
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:49 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeBakdaulet Akimali to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIskender Kharki above · Bakdaulet Akimali below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Bakdaulet Akimali at 59.7%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:49What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kharki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kharki 40% vs Akimali 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kharki 40% vs Akimali 60%
Akimali
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kharki +1 · Akimali -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kharki) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kharki form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKharki 1.44 / Akimali 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kharki)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13063049
Kharki1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Akimali2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKharkiAkimaliBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 8 / 1040%80%4 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KharkiKharki 1.44/Akimali 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kharki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kharki won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Kharki10
LSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WSep 2 · 07:05I. Kharki—11128113S. Kurmambayev—3101161LJul 25 · 14:05P. Suresh—811512123I. Kharki—1161110102LJul 25 · 05:35I. Kharki—9101171O. Kakharov—11122113WJul 24 · 12:25I. Kharki—1211113A. Karimjanov—10840LJul 21 · 11:25I. Kharki6.007680Y. Pang1.111111113LJul 21 · 03:00I. Kharki6.007680Y. Pang1.111111113LJun 16 · 16:00R. Walther1.1711211113I. Kharki4.50711391WJun 16 · 10:55R. Castro1.131181712102I. Kharki5.505111514123LJun 10 · 11:30A. Rassenfosse1.0811611123I. Kharki7.008118101
B. Akimali10
WSep 2 · 05:00R. Rakhmonov7.5011122B. Akimali1.078103LJul 25 · 13:25D. Han—1111113B. Akimali—7570WJul 25 · 05:30B. Akimali—1111123K. Abdurahimov—74100WJul 24 · 12:25B. Akimali—1111113B. Komiljonov—9740LJul 20 · 10:20B. Akimali—961191S. Arya—11117113WJul 20 · 03:35B. Akimali—1111113T. Buyan—4620WJul 19 · 09:20B. Akimali—1111113E. Bodisuren—2430WMar 3 · 17:15M. Antoine-Michard1.369960B. Akimali3.001111113WMar 3 · 10:10B. Akimali1.521161111113S. Zhubanov2.3513119842WMar 2 · 18:25B. Akimali—111123113A. Riniotis—29111182
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