TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual
WTT Star Contender Brazil QualMatch #12285403
Played Jul 23Finished
Jakub Zelinka
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411811––––
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Zelinka above · Ryoichi Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 49 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 56.7%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Yoshiyama
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zelinka 40% vs Yoshiyama 60%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelinka 40% vs Yoshiyama 60%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelinka +2 · Yoshiyama -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Yoshiyama) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 6.50 / Yoshiyama 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Yoshiyama)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual · #12285403
Zelinka6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Yoshiyama1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.42.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshiyamaZelinka 6.50/Yoshiyama 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Yoshiyama · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yoshiyama won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Zelinka10
LAug 26 · 11:30J. Kaucky6.00111811113J. Zelinka1.1161111992WJul 22 · 20:35F. Lambiet1.50971114112J. Zelinka2.501111712133WJul 21 · 20:35R. Ito—4350J. Zelinka—1111113LApr 29 · 18:13J. Zelinka3.258870M. Shah1.331111113LApr 29 · 16:40J. Zelinka—0M. Thakkar—3LApr 20 · 08:00J. Zelinka6.5016130Y. Kizukuri1.101111153LApr 19 · 17:19T. Konecny2.0011115123J. Zelinka1.735811101LApr 19 · 16:14D. Reitspies2.3881213113J. Zelinka1.5311101161LApr 15 · 18:00E. Ranefur1.141111113J. Zelinka5.006740WApr 15 · 11:30E. Otalvaro1.918111171J. Zelinka1.8011813113
R. Yoshiyama10
LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:15J. Choi2.7211810131R. Yoshiyama1.3891112153WAug 7 · 06:20K. Li4.506650R. Yoshiyama1.171111113WAug 6 · 12:00Y. Malik—11570R. Yoshiyama—1311113LJul 24 · 14:35R. Yoshiyama2.95911111042J. An1.3311591293LJul 5 · 08:45R. Yoshiyama1.92812671N. Artemenko1.76111011113WJul 4 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama1.601111113K. Yoshiyama2.169570
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