TT Lossbeater/Czech Extraleague
Czech ExtraleagueMatch #11769511
Played Apr 19Finished
David Reitspies
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81112101311116––
Jakub Zelinka
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Reitspies above · Jakub Zelinka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-6
Point 80 set 4, 9-6
80 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H David Reitspies 1–0 Jakub Zelinka Jakub Zelinka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReitspies 2.38 / Zelinka 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.8pp
Czech Extraleague · #11769511
Reitspies2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zelinka1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeReitspies1wins
AwayZelinka0wins
Reitspies leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricReitspiesZelinkaR − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.049.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReitspiesZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 198 vs 112 / 17470.7%64.4%140 / 198 vs 112 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaReitspies 2.38/Zelinka 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reitspies won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—D. Reitspies—3J. Zelinka—2
D. Reitspies10
LAug 29 · 12:00A. Eriksson1.4011512103D. Reitspies2.754111041WAug 29 · 11:24D. Reitspies1.281211113T. Rasmussen3.5010980WAug 28 · 12:20D. Reitspies1.2511118863D. Chaperon3.7588111152WAug 28 · 11:18D. Reitspies1.1411118863D. Provost5.0088111152LMay 8 · 11:00M. Aguirre2.20711111113D. Reitspies1.6111871172WMay 8 · 09:45F. Bluhm2.208490D. Reitspies1.611111113WMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470WMay 8 · 06:30D. Reitspies1.0311611113M. Nogami10.00911471WMay 7 · 16:00D. Reitspies1.67111111113F. Bluhm2.10613971WMay 7 · 12:30D. Reitspies1.031111113D. Zech10.003940
J. Zelinka10
LAug 26 · 11:30J. Kaucky6.00111811113J. Zelinka1.1161111992LJul 23 · 21:45J. Zelinka6.504480R. Yoshiyama1.101111113WJul 22 · 20:35F. Lambiet1.50971114112J. Zelinka2.501111712133WJul 21 · 20:35R. Ito—4350J. Zelinka—1111113LApr 29 · 18:13J. Zelinka3.258870M. Shah1.331111113LApr 29 · 16:40J. Zelinka—0M. Thakkar—3LApr 20 · 08:00J. Zelinka6.5016130Y. Kizukuri1.101111153LApr 19 · 17:19T. Konecny2.0011115123J. Zelinka1.735811101LApr 15 · 18:00E. Ranefur1.141111113J. Zelinka5.006740WApr 15 · 11:30E. Otalvaro1.918111171J. Zelinka1.8011813113
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