TT Lossbeater/Champions League
Champions LeagueMatch #13041375
Played Aug 29Finished
Anders Eriksson
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–1Last 4Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1145111210104––
David Reitspies
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Reitspies to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnders Eriksson above · David Reitspies below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-4
Point 67 set 4, 10-4 — our read held David Reitspies at 54.1%
67 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Eriksson
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Eriksson 75% vs Reitspies 80%
—
Too close
5pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eriksson 75% vs Reitspies 90%
Reitspies
Wrong
15pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eriksson +2 · Reitspies +3
Reitspies
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Eriksson) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reitspies form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEriksson 1.40 / Reitspies 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Eriksson)+0.0pp
Champions League · #13041375
Eriksson1.40
75%won 3 of 4 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 2 of 4
Reitspies2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricErikssonReitspiesBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 4 vs 9 / 1075%90%3 / 4 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ErikssonEriksson 1.40/Reitspies 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Eriksson · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Eriksson won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Eriksson5
D. Reitspies10
WAug 29 · 11:24D. Reitspies1.281211113T. Rasmussen3.5010980WAug 28 · 12:20D. Reitspies1.2511118863D. Chaperon3.7588111152WAug 28 · 11:18D. Reitspies1.1411118863D. Provost5.0088111152LMay 8 · 11:00M. Aguirre2.20711111113D. Reitspies1.6111871172WMay 8 · 09:45F. Bluhm2.208490D. Reitspies1.611111113WMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470WMay 8 · 06:30D. Reitspies1.0311611113M. Nogami10.00911471WMay 7 · 16:00D. Reitspies1.67111111113F. Bluhm2.10613971WMay 7 · 12:30D. Reitspies1.031111113D. Zech10.003940WMay 7 · 11:00D. Reitspies1.6115118113M. Danzer2.201381181
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